Suggestion: Ancient Eldritch Prehistoric Pullover at 45–90 keys

Toque likely needs the sale more than this does (more outdated) however, even with the toque, we have massively discrepant sales (2 ~20 and 2 well above 40) this cant be updated but for the sake of the mini, I’m going to range the capped toque (since buyers there virtually cap anyway) with the usable pure sale and just call 5 and 7 way too low, since they’re too low on the cotton anyway. Additionally, this is a minority part of the prehistoric sale, so 40-45 should suffice as buyers well counter the lower sales.

________

Sales

80 (this specific one is a use-there but theres enough sales there to generate a theoretical range that the prehistoric would support the middle of

104

121

Time to sale for all

64 pure / 9 days

34 pure / 2mo

80 / 2 weeks

45 / 1 day

64 / 9 days

48 / 2 weeks

40 / 9mo? likely less

104 / ~1mo

121 / 5 days

62 / 2 days

90 / 5 days

89 / 2 weeks

MP sale is hard to date accurately, however both had been listed for 9-10 days each.

Going with 45-90

Given a host of reasons, the highs are too high / the lows are too low, however enough of the highs exist to counter unsolds and enough of the lows exist to counter buyers, and excluding both would not be an accurate representation. 45-90 well encapsulates both without an excessively wide range.

https://prnt.sc/p6ihgn classifieds at the time of posting

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5d7eacd56780720a1d2ec9ee pithy

Buyers at 52. 62 would be a better low end

https://imgur.com/a/NTyPCQz - Also highly doubt 34 was 34

40's only 40 because of the Depression tanking the HKC, so I doubt 40 should be considered valid in the context of being below the Prehistoric's buyers.

The 45 sale is bulk.

without julia clarifying her sale, im taking 34 as what it is (supportive of the low end)

40 is 40 regardless of what priced down the HKC, its now worth 40

45 is not bulk. even with the new price its not bulk. the prehistoric is a majority part of it since the cotton is 43 and the prehistoric at current is more than double that and with the new price will be 25k higher than 43.

4 sales well below 3 buyers are not countered by buyers, but i suspect this will be up for a while so we'll see if more low sales occur

edit:

, 3 sales vs 3 buyers, 45 still should be the low end as its inclusive of all; given the unsolds this needs a drop and simply capping the low end at unsolds and effectively raising it when much lower sales occurred is dishonest

edit 2: looks like 34 was false after all

https://steamuserimages-a.akamaihd.net/ugc/763846429158344831/D9E6961F84F2675A70AD3C769408D6FE2E7701B2/

per fish that is sufficient proof

for sale 12, the Hg Woolen does have one other sale:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198231473072#!/compare/1566086400/1566172800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198163041781#!/compare/1566086400/1566172800

Sold with ~3 keys in sweets for Clocked Dragon Born + Static Headsplitter

Splitter history : https://backpack.tf/item/5294376292

Dragonborn Mini: https://backpack.tf/item/1649371166

can be used to update the Woolen

More sales :

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198110827768#!/compare/1569110400/1569196800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198394877897#!/compare/1569110400/1569196800

Sold for ~52 keys to a bot

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118601370#!/compare/1571184000/1571443200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197972389354#!/compare/1571270400/1571443200

Sold with ~5 keys in sweets for PE Tipped(76.5)

Total is 71.5 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4PPW65J5

B/O of 88 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086556424#!/compare/1569369600/1569542400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126707319#!/compare/1564185600/1569542400

Sold for ~33 keys in sweets?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126707319#!/compare/1571443200/1571529600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198259986634#!/compare/1571356800/1571529600

Sold for 82 keys, though it may be worth clarifying with owner / seller.

so in order thatd be 33 52 72 and 82 (unconfirmed)

if anything i think this supports the wide-ass range we currently have, even cutting off the outliers this would still end up with an arguably similar median (67 w/ the main sugg, 62 ish with the new sales)

thanks for reporting!

33 is probably wrong; 52 sold to an actual buyer :P these sales support the higher values more than the lower ones.

I would definitely not set a low end below buyers here, especially not given the reasons posted by shuffle above on some of the sales already.

Excluding the sub-buyer sales would be an unbalanced range though.

However, what would you propose?

Not really, it has already been established that 33 and 34 (at the very least this one) are very likely wrong; the 45 sale should definitely not be used here. the cone uses post-crash cone value for a precrash sale, so that's not an appropriate value.

That leaves the low end spectrum sales at 48 and 52, the latter of which sold to a buyer. the high end also loses 2 sales, so it's not even that unbalanced if you exclude those.

Had a sale a few months back for my RA Bombing Run. Got the bombing run along with 15k for this hat.