In-date, but needs an update, due to recent events.

Sale 1: (Dupe)

Sold for 30 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1567209600/1567296000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198861407846#!/compare/1567296000/1567382400

https://backpack.tf/item/3705904962

X = 30

Sale 2:

Sold for Disco Beat Down Galvanized Gibus (in-date post-crate depression at 56, several sellers for cheaper)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101679720#!/compare/1567123200/1567209600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070664114#!/compare/1567209600/1567296000

https://backpack.tf/item/7955902976

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4ZKOO7J1 - B/O of 29

The Gibus is very overpriced despite still being in-date, but given buyers at ~27 on it, I’d say this’ll still easily cap.

X = 29 (Capped by B/O)

Sale 3:

Sold for 24 keys (buyer’s end)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198377165880#!/compare/1566604800/1566691200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080130143#!/compare/1566604800/1566691200

https://backpack.tf/item/7956981935

X = 24

Sale 4:

Sold for 22 keys + 20 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116608226#!/compare/1566518400/1566604800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198377165880#!/compare/1566518400/1566604800

https://backpack.tf/item/7956981935

X = 22

Sale 5:

Sold for Max’s Head (~21)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070664114#!/compare/1567728000/1567900800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1567641600/1567728000

https://backpack.tf/item/7955902976

X = 21

Sale 6:

Sold for Terror-Watt Cotton Head + Neutron Star Nasty Norsemann (22)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126034844#!/compare/1565913600/1566000000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131918132#!/compare/1564876800/1566000000

https://backpack.tf/item/7956440213

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y9G688DD - No B/O at the time

Buyers at ~15 on the Cotton head, this sale can most likely end up being 37 at the lowest. Since this is significantly higher than the other sales, and we don’t have a B/O to work with, it may be better to exclude this sale entirely.

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30175;5;u62

$59.99, August 22nd

$59.99, August 23rd

$60, August 28th -

https://backpack.tf/item/7957144360 - Either 22nd or 23rd here, doesn’t matter which too much as they both work out to be 33 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4ZKJRE01 - B/O of 29 on it

https://backpack.tf/item/7662906695 - same as above

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MGZPJ53Q - B/O of 39

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2019-08-22&price=59.99 - $59.99 / $1.82 = 32.96 keys

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2019-08-23&price=59.99 - $59.99 / $1.83 = 32.78 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2019-08-28&price=60 - $60 / $1.81 = 33.15 keys

X = 33 (2x)

X = 29 (Capped by B/O)

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/7957640440 (#1)

https://backpack.tf/item/7957144360 (#2)

https://backpack.tf/item/7957166228 (#3)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956981935 (#4)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956907019 (#5)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956774516 (#6)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956474486 (#7)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956440213 (#8)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956416087 (#9)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956360406 (#10)

https://backpack.tf/item/7955902976 (#11)

https://backpack.tf/item/7955827308 (#12 & #13)

https://backpack.tf/item/7955627882 (#14)

https://backpack.tf/item/7947655518 (#15)

https://backpack.tf/item/7662906695 (#16)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956722991 - marketplace

#1

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057644087#!/compare/1565395200/1566777600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198299237697#!/compare/1567296000/1567382400

#2

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198306872661#!/compare/1566518400/1566604800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155131758#!/compare/1566518400/1566604800

#3

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198912188810#!/compare/1566432000/1566864000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198342161127#!/compare/1566777600/1566864000

#4

Untraceable due to private seller inventory

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198160846714

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116608226#!/compare/1566345600/1566432000

#5

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049126180#!/compare/1565913600/1566000000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025723137#!/compare/1565913600/1566086400

#6

SCM

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850482970#!/compare/1566000000/1566000000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152980680#!/compare/1566086400/1566345600

#7

Untraceable due to private seller inventory

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045325603

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198848406878#!/compare/1566345600/1566518400

#8

Sold for Purple Energy Heer’s Helmet, apparently.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131918132#!/compare/1566000000/1566086400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198271772640#!/compare/1566000000/1566086400

Not using for obvious reasons.

#9

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305962057#!/compare/1566172800/1566259200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1566172800/1566259200

#10

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198210395733#!/compare/1566000000/1568592000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195575110#!/compare/1563148800/1568246400

#11

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198377319164#!/compare/1566259200/1566604800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101679720#!/compare/1566086400/1566345600

#12

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1567036800/1567123200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198282346060#!/compare/1567036800/1567123200

#13

Bulk for Purple Energy Modest

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198282346060#!/compare/1567123200/1567209600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198382654640#!/compare/1567123200/1567209600

#14

Sold for an unusual rocket launcher

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156255538#!/compare/1566604800/1566691200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198342912573#!/compare/1566604800/1566691200

Can be used to price the rocket launcher.

#15

wat

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198848406878#!/compare/1566345600/1566432000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198394877897#!/compare/1566259200/1566345600

#16

Untraceable, 24 keys match

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198830633436#!/compare/1566604800/1566691200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198262132503#!/compare/1566345600/1566777600

https://i.imgur.com/Fx2PZuY.png - labelled as 30 keys on bot.tf

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/5qoEAw2.png

https://i.imgur.com/HxvQntH.png

https://backpack.tf/item/7956416087 - 34 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7955827308 - 38 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7947655518 - 38 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7955902976 - 40 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7957166228 - 50 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/2793150159 - 50 keys

Sales at:

21

22

24

29 (2x)

30

33 (2x)

Dupe sale at 30 fits in the range.

https://i.imgur.com/mzp0PMh.png - Buyer(s) as high as 24 keys, excluding 24 and lower.

Taking 29-33.