i wouldn't use those older sales that occurred over a month ago here since all sales on scm in the past month have been less than 7.5 keys which is supported by several sellers below 7.5 keys and the month unsold at 8 keys in classies.
True, too many sales at a high price whilst people have been unsold at that price recently. Do you want me to take this down and change it to 5-6.x or so keys?
it's probably fine to call 5 an outlier given it's quite far away from all the other sales. but maybe a tighter range would be better making the high-end lower here using just the more recent sales
Taking Marketplace and SCM sales
--MP Sales--
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30515;13;strange
SEP 14th @ $13.00 / 1.84 = ~7.06 --> 7 keys Proof: https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2019-09-14
SEP 18th @ $9.16 / 1.81 = ~5.06 --> 5 keys Proof: https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2019-09-18
--MP Sales--
--SCM Sales--
https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Strange%20Haunted%20Wings%20of%20Purity
JULY 11th @ $19.29 / 2.43 = ~7.93 --> 7.9 keys
JULY 12th @ $19.29 / 2.41 = ~8.004 --> 8 keys
JULY 22nd @ $18.63 / 2.42 = ~7.69 --> 7.7 keys
JULY 26th @ $18.53 / 2.47 = ~7.502 --> 7.5 keys
AUG 1st @ $18.40 / 2.46 = ~7.47 --> 7.5 keys
AUG 3rd @ $18.40 / 2.47 = ~7.44 --> 7.4 keys
AUG 11th @ $18.40 / 2.41 = ~7.63 --> 7.6 keys
AUG 28th @ $15.00 / 2.32 = ~6.46 --> 6.5 keys (using 8PM key sales)
SEP 8th 12AM @ $15.00 / 2.30 = ~6.52 --> 6.5 keys
SEP 10th 4PM @ $14.97 / 2.38 = ~6.28 --> 6.3 keys
SEP 14th 12AM @ $17.29 / 2.34 = ~7.38 --> 7.4 keys
SEP 16th 6PM @ $16.01 / 2.39 = ~6.69 --> 6.7 keys
Key prices: https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key
--SCM Sales--
Classifieds: https://gyazo.com/89c204fbf88dfb4edc7aabdd8563d763
Summary of Sales: 5, 6.3, 6.5, 6.5, 6.7, 7, 7.4, 7.4, 7.5, 7.5, 7.6, 7.7, 7.9, 8
Price: 6.3-8
i wouldn't use those older sales that occurred over a month ago here since all sales on scm in the past month have been less than 7.5 keys which is supported by several sellers below 7.5 keys and the month unsold at 8 keys in classies.
True, too many sales at a high price whilst people have been unsold at that price recently. Do you want me to take this down and change it to 5-6.x or so keys?
it's probably fine to call 5 an outlier given it's quite far away from all the other sales. but maybe a tighter range would be better making the high-end lower here using just the more recent sales