Sale 1:

Sold for Pro. KS Vintage Lugermorph (10) + 1 key

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197978500506#!/compare/1562889600/1562976000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198962627249#!/compare/1562889600/1563062400

https://backpack.tf/item/6610648397

X = 11

Sale :

Sold with less than half a key in metal for 10 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197977418982#!/compare/1563580800/1563753600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198335423166#!/compare/1563667200/1563753600

https://backpack.tf/item/7210168369

X = 10

Sale 2:

Sold to a bot for 9 keys + 3 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006398281#!/compare/1561507200/1562025600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358482558#!/compare/1561939200/1562025600

https://backpack.tf/item/7060481074

https://i.imgur.com/sEhLDnz.png - bot.tf confirms

X = 9

Sale 3:

Sold for 9 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161218361#!/compare/1562803200/1562889600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197978500506#!/compare/1562803200/1562889600

https://backpack.tf/item/6610648397

X = 9

Sale 4:

Sold for 9 keys + 5 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198430787433#!/compare/1562284800/1562371200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198430787433#!/compare/1562284800/1562371200

https://backpack.tf/item/6486974342

X = 9

Sale 5:

Sold to a bot for 9 keys + 3 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198430787433#!/compare/1562544000/1562630400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198308772967#!/compare/1562457600/1562544000

https://backpack.tf/item/6486974342

https://i.imgur.com/sEhLDnz.png - bot.tf confirms

X = 9

Sale 6:

Sold for 8 keys + ~0.5 keys in metal

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198312145232#!/compare/1563926400/1564272000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198811737080#!/compare/1564185600/1564272000

https://backpack.tf/item/7050408179

X = 8.5

Sale 7:

Sold to a quickbuyer for 7 keys + ~0.5 keys in metal

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198170098378#!/compare/1568505600/1568592000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044684270#!/compare/1568419200/1568505600

https://backpack.tf/item/7050408179

X = 7.5

Sale 8:

Sold for Smoking Head Hedge + 12 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198253581864#!/compare/1564012800/1564272000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198259117887#!/compare/1564185600/1564272000

https://backpack.tf/item/7050408179

Can use on the Head Hedge.

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30959;5;u29

$21.80, June 26th

$21.80, July 9th

$15.07, July 12th

$21.80, July 19th

$24.61, August 19th

$21.99, September 16th

https://backpack.tf/item/7050408179 - September 16th

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2019-09-16&price=21.99 - $21.99 / $1.81 = 12.15 keys

No B/O.

https://backpack.tf/item/7210168369 - Dunno which one this is

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2019-06-26&price=21.8 - $21.8 / $1.83 = 11.91 keys

https://i.imgur.com/2o0epss.png - B/O was 12 so it doesn’t matter regardless.

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2019-07-09&price=21.8 - $21.8 / $1.84 = 11.85 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2019-07-12&price=15.07 - $15.07 / $1.83 = 8.23 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2019-07-19&price=21.8 - $21.8 / $1.83 = 11.91 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2019-08-19&price=24.61 - $24.61 / $1.84 = 13.37 keys

X = 13

X = 12 (4x)

X = 8

Couldn’t find any other histories.

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/7050408179 (#1 & #2)

https://backpack.tf/item/6653605359 (#3)

https://backpack.tf/item/6610648397 (#4)

https://backpack.tf/item/7210168369 (#5-8)

https://backpack.tf/item/7209283230 - scammers

#1

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198811737080#!/compare/1564185600/1564272000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198253581864#!/compare/1564012800/1564272000

#2

Sold with Gibus (~0.5 keys) for Orbiting Fire Bootleg Base Metal Billycock

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198259117887#!/compare/1566000000/1568505600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198170098378#!/compare/1568419200/1568505600

Using on dat

#3

Bulk for Miami Law

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198442272468#!/compare/1568419200/1568505600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094466013#!/compare/1568332800/1568419200

#4

Sold for a bunch of cheap items, including an unusual taunt

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198962627249#!/compare/1563148800/1563235200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198147141139#!/compare/1562371200/1563148800

Not an ideal sale to update this item with.

#5

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154306827#!/compare/1563494400/1563580800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197977418982#!/compare/1563408000/1563580800

#6

Sold for Blizzardy Storm Conquistador

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198335423166#!/compare/1565568000/1569110400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198255850609#!/compare/1565481600/1565568000

Can be used on the Conquistador. I’m also convinced a key was added with the sinner. You can see metal leaving the seller’s end, going to a bot that probably buys keys.

#7

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198255850609#!/compare/1565481600/1565568000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220361775#!/compare/1565308800/1565568000

#8

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220361775#!/compare/1565568000/1565913600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050933686#!/compare/1565568000/1565654400

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/CV184Jb.png

https://backpack.tf/item/6653605359 - 9 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7060481074 - 11 keys

Sales at:

7.5

8

8.5

9 (4x)

10

11

12 (4x)

13

7.5 is a lone sale to a quickbuyer, excluding.

8 would’ve gone to a marketplace buy order, excluding.

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4R85LZEY - The current seller at 11 has been unsold for less than 12 for more than 2 months now. Originally listing it for ~11.5 before eventually dropping it to 11 shortly afterwards

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MQ9893ZP

With that in mind, since this thing struggles to sell for 12 pure, I will excluding anything higher than the listing at 11. If the sales at 12 were pure, then they would be included otherwise.

Going with 8.5-11.