Using sales that have occurred since the bugged unusuals were released (~16th August).

Sale 1:

Sold for Disco Beat Down Slick Cut (Suggestion at 14) + Cloud 9 Antarctic Eyewear (Suggestion at ~21.5) + Mega Strike Trackman’s Touchdown

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197978500506#!/compare/1566604800/1566691200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198251960730#!/compare/1566604800/1566691200

https://backpack.tf/item/7956325213

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M17NK060 - B/O of 38

Mini not necessary on the Touchdown, will cap at 38.

X = 38

Sale 2:

Sold for Miami Nights Galvanized Gibus (~25.5) + ~3.5 keys in items

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198271915998#!/compare/1568332800/1568419200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195315231#!/compare/1568419200/1568505600

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MLRQEDLJ - B/O of 32

X = 29

Sale 3:

Sold to a quickbuyer for 26 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165205268#!/compare/1568160000/1568332800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198271915998#!/compare/1568246400/1568332800

https://backpack.tf/item/7236206255

X = 26

Sale 4:

Sold for Molten Mallard Belgian Detective (29.5) + ~6 keys in items

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1566000000/1566086400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198201825212#!/compare/1565568000/1566086400

https://backpack.tf/item/7956325213

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M17ZG7XX - B/O of 25

EZ C(l)ap

X = 25 (Capped by B/O)

Sale 5:

Quicksold for 25 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090750997#!/compare/1566086400/1566172800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026360445#!/compare/1566172800/1566259200

https://backpack.tf/item/7956325213

X = 25

Sale 6:

Sold for Cloud 9 Titanium Towering Pillar of Hats (Suggestion at 13) + 7 keys + ~1 key in metal/items

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097974718#!/compare/1565913600/1566086400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137163870#!/compare/1566000000/1566086400

https://backpack.tf/item/7956325213

X = 21

Sale 7:

Sold to a quickbuyer for 16 keys + 1 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081352979#!/compare/1565654400/1565913600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1565827200/1565913600

https://backpack.tf/item/7956325213

X = 16

Sale 8:

Sold for Logo Bare Necessities

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105071091#!/compare/1568592000/1568678400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062205682#!/compare/1568592000/1568678400

https://backpack.tf/item/7957520219

The Bare Necessities has no other sales. Can be used to price it instead.

Sale 9:

Sold for Logo Aviator Assassin

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198201825212#!/compare/1565568000/1566086400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097974718#!/compare/1565913600/1566086400

https://backpack.tf/item/7956325213

The only other sale on the Aviator is untraceable. Would be better to price it instead.

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30307;5;u62

$35.53 - August 19th

$60 - September 1st

Can’t find the $35.53 history, most likely sold to a buy order

https://backpack.tf/item/7957559693 - Sept 1st sale

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4JGJ8GD3

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y9G3K7RX - no B/O at any point for that sale

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2019-08-19&price=35.53 - $35.53 / $1.84 = 19.31 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2019-09-01&price=60 - $60 / $1.82 = 32.97 keys

X = 33

X = 19

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/7957520219 (#1 & #2)

https://backpack.tf/item/7957157020 (#3 & #4)

https://backpack.tf/item/7957112727 (#5)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956325213 (#6-8)

https://backpack.tf/item/7955967861 (#9)

https://backpack.tf/item/7236206255 (#10)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956374257 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/7957559693 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/7957524205 - marketplace

#1

Bulk for Demonflame Broadband Bonnet

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198170165054#!/compare/1566000000/1566086400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105071091#!/compare/1565913600/1566000000

#2

Sold for Miami Nights CotOK

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062205682#!/compare/1568678400/1568764800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198170098378#!/compare/1568592000/1568678400

Using on dat

#3

Untraceable, sold to a quickbuyer

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079638847#!/compare/1564790400/1565913600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1565827200/1565913600

#4

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1566432000/1566518400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129233971#!/compare/1566432000/1566518400

#5

Untraceable, only the nickel matches

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198404800996#!/compare/1566518400/1566604800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198308171954#!/compare/1566172800/1566864000

#6

Untraceable, only a couple keys match

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137163870#!/compare/1566086400/1566172800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090750997#!/compare/1566086400/1566172800

#7

Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026360445#!/compare/1566432000/1566518400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197978500506#!/compare/1566432000/1566518400

#8

Sold for Stormy Storm Killer Exclusive

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198251960730#!/compare/1567123200/1567209600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198342912573#!/compare/1567123200/1567209600

https://backpack.tf/item/7956325213

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MLR6118Z - B/O of 43

#9

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198186381069#!/compare/1567123200/1569024000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063070081#!/compare/1567900800/1568592000

#10

Sold with 14 keys for Green Energy Towering Pillar of Hats

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198818203285#!/compare/1567468800/1567641600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165205268#!/compare/1567555200/1567641600

Would be better to price the pillar with this sale.

Cloud 9 Titanium Pillar:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5d86d41367807210454a3a9e

Cloud 9 Antarctic Eyewear:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5d86f6bd67807233040d5dd1

Disco Beat Down Slick Cut:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5d877b58d381723dfa3263b1

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/8gmC2Ck.png

https://backpack.tf/item/7957520219 - 34 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7955967861 - 34 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7236206255 - 37 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7957524205 - 44 keys

Sales at:

16

19

21

25 (2x)

26

29

33

38

https://i.imgur.com/eIyggCu.png - buyer at 21, sale at 19 most likely went to a marketplace buy order, and 16 sold to a quickbuyer. Excluding 16-21.

38 looks like an outlier, especially given sellers. Even including 33 is a bit of a stretch, but I’ll stick with it. Excluding 38.

Going with 25-33.