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Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198815398572#!/compare/1562716800/1566086400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198186922501#!/compare/1562630400/1562716800
Sold with Planets HWAH for DP Pomade + OF Coldsnap(18) + Vivid Beanie
Nothing on the Beanie.
Sale 2:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198186922501#!/compare/1563580800/1563667200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198276443417#!/compare/1563580800/1563667200
used on Caribou
Sale 3:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198276443417#!/compare/1563667200/1563753600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051253246#!/compare/1563667200/1563753600
Sold with ~7 keys in sweets for EOF Rotation(68)
total is 61 keys
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y7D6OQQ8
b/O of 55 keys, capping
Sale 4:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051253246#!/compare/1563753600/1563840000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198838118682#!/compare/1563753600/1563840000
Sold with 1 key for C9 Woodsman
Woodsman Mini:
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5d8977886780725e8b23630e
Suggestion for 41.5 keys
Total is 40.5 keys
sale 5:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198838118682#!/compare/1563926400/1564012800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156255538#!/compare/1563926400/1564012800
Sold for ~37 keys
Total sales @:
37, 40.5, 55 keys
Sellers both recently dropped from ~52, 53 keys,
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y5R06JVE
taking 37 - 41 keys
My purchase of 36.5 was a quicksell, it was only listed for ~12 hours before selling - which I found on deals. This is confirmed by bot.tf
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y8EER71W - Initial listing
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4EEEP7E2 - 12 hours later
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MNLLRG95 - Sold
Again not the biggest fan of using the Woodsman to update other stuff, but at least this isn't a clear outlier like the law. 55 is still prob an outlier as sale 1 supports a lower price as w/o minis looks like ~40.
Id go 41 flat here, 1 outlier on each end.
While we can agree that 55 is an outlier, I doubt 37 is as much of one when the guy bought it for 41 and within a day or two resold it for less, not to mention excluding more sales than including. A range here is better, I would think.
37 quicksold, quicksells should only be included if they are a common trading point (i.e 2-3 sales at 37) which is not the case here. Again, with something as unstable as the woodsman, its hard to make a claim that it was 41 to the buyer of the tree; it almost certainly was valued differently by the buyer at the time of the sale, whether that be far higher than 41 or more likely, less than 41 since he quicksold it immediately for 37.
But it's only unstable now because of the Crate Depression; note that the sale for the Woodsman happened before the bug appeared.
You can't say for certain either way that the Woodsman was valued lower or higher than 37 keys, so its a moot point.
and what's your basis that 37 quicksold?
Price? 41 is closer to 37 than 55, so that can't be it.
Time? 55 resold for the woodsman within a day.
Buy orders? you bought it 3 keys above the highest buyer at the time of the sale, and buyers have dropped since then.
I think this is a case of wait and see what other people think, including mods. The woodsman is unstable, and may change the outcome of this suggestion.
If the sale for the woodsman happened before the crate depression, you might want to mini the woodsman only off sales that occurred before the crate depression. We want the price of items at the time of the sale, so after crate depression would be inaccurate.
37 quicksold because it sold in 12 hours. Im not sure what is confusing about that.
The fact that we're using post-crash woodsman sales on a pre-crash sale is going to be a dealbreaker here. This should remain outdated.
Understood, closing!