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Item history:

https://backpack.tf/item/6814631645

SCM sale

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Hungover%20Hero

Sold for $119 USD on Sept 23, 2019

Proof it was a nuts and bolts hungover:

https://imgur.com/a/MhSRRgI

Direct link to cache:

https://tinyurl.com/yyjugut8

The fact that it's untradable until Sept 30th confirms it was the hungover hero that sold for 119 on the 23rd.

Keys were 2.38 at the time of purchase on SCM:

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key

https://imgur.com/a/I2Xh94a

119/2.38=50 flat

Taking 50

Appears that the buyer dumped it already to scm buy order and new seller is selling less than 50 keys. Closing.