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~27 keys
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Unusual Cosa Nostra Cap Dead Presidents
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Dead Presidents Cosa Nostra Cap


Selling:

https://imgur.com/a/Hcd2euJ

28 days @ 15


Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198196862773#!/compare/1562889600/1562976000

Added 17 keys for an MG Base Metal Billy

Use there


Sale 2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198213674613#!/compare/1562889600/1562976000

Probably sold for 12 keys in 1 day, histories don’t match.

X = 12 (qs)


Sale 3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198213674613#!/compare/1562976000/1563062400

Added 9 ref in sweets for a Bubbling Noble (13.5, indate) + 1 key

Yes, noble has sellers for ~10 now, but at the time of the sale; https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4653EKRM

13.5 + 1 - .2 = 14.3

X = 14


Sale 4:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/459;5;u60

$24 / $1.81 = 13.26 keys

X = 13


Sale 5:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198363395191#!/compare/1569110400/1569196800

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4OVKX6OV - B/O was 10 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4OVKX6OV - Then raised to 11?

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MQ9QO363 - was up at 10 for 6 days, if this were low, it would of qsed.

Sold for 17 keys (ID’s match) (the bot prob sold a 7 key item at almost the exact same time; which is why they are grouped together.

X = 10 (capped by B/O if was 11 or even 17)


Sale 6:

https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=459&q=5&ef=Dead+Presidents&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MLRRPPJO - happened right after initial crate depression, B/O was 20

Sold for 20 keys

X = 20


Sales at:

10

12

13

14

20


Summary:

20 is far too high, seems like a lucky sale, and it is countered by the month unsold @ 15. 10 is not low, as it took almost a week to sell for that price.


Final Price: 10 - 14 keys