Cloud 9 Hellmet

Selling:

https://imgur.com/a/wMavPzV

2 days @ 44

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30708;5;u58 $140

Sale 1:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30708;5;u58

https://backpack.tf/item/6279956769

Don’t see the 50 sale in the item history, no bot.tf

Sold for $96 and $50

96 / 1.83 = 52.45

50 / 1.82 = 27.47

X = 52, 27

Sale 2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152915389#!/compare/1565827200/1565913600

Sold for 29 keys to a known quickbuyer

X = 29 (qber)

Sale 3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074895734#!/compare/1566432000/1566518400

Added 2 keys + ~1 in sweets for a Neutron Vive (39, indate)

39 - 3 = 36

X = 36

Sale 4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198438525576#!/compare/1566172800/1566518400

Sold in <1 day for 25 keys 5 ref to a known quickbuyer (Dante)

X = 25 (qs)

Sale 5:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198838788284#!/compare/1566518400/1566604800

Bulk for Knifestorm Noble

Sale 6:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198008113369#!/compare/1566604800/1566691200

Bulk for GBH Samureye

Sale 7:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074895734#!/compare/1566345600/1566432000

Sold for a Strange Searing Bandito (32.5, open suggestion) + 8 keys

32.5 + 8 = 40.5

X = 41

Bandito suggestion: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5d9181d2d381725b784ee7db

Sales at:

25 (qs)

27

29 (qber)

36

41

52

Summary:

52 is clearly high, given all sales are lower and mp.tf tends to be higher than normal, excluding 52. 25 is def low since it sold in a day; however 27 and 29 are less obvious. As 29 sold to a quickbuyer and I can’t find the mp.tf bot in the history that sold for 27 (meaning idk how long it took to sell, and it likely sold instantly since its not listed), I will go for a conservative drop of 36 - 41.

Final Price: 36 - 41 keys