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Cloud 9 Hellmet
Selling:
https://imgur.com/a/wMavPzV
2 days @ 44
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30708;5;u58 $140
Sale 1:
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30708;5;u58
https://backpack.tf/item/6279956769
Don’t see the 50 sale in the item history, no bot.tf
Sold for $96 and $50
96 / 1.83 = 52.45
50 / 1.82 = 27.47
X = 52, 27
Sale 2:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152915389#!/compare/1565827200/1565913600
Sold for 29 keys to a known quickbuyer
X = 29 (qber)
Sale 3:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074895734#!/compare/1566432000/1566518400
Added 2 keys + ~1 in sweets for a Neutron Vive (39, indate)
39 - 3 = 36
X = 36
Sale 4:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198438525576#!/compare/1566172800/1566518400
Sold in <1 day for 25 keys 5 ref to a known quickbuyer (Dante)
X = 25 (qs)
Sale 5:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198838788284#!/compare/1566518400/1566604800
Bulk for Knifestorm Noble
Sale 6:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198008113369#!/compare/1566604800/1566691200
Bulk for GBH Samureye
Sale 7:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074895734#!/compare/1566345600/1566432000
Sold for a Strange Searing Bandito (32.5, open suggestion) + 8 keys
32.5 + 8 = 40.5
X = 41
Bandito suggestion: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5d9181d2d381725b784ee7db
Sales at:
25 (qs)
27
29 (qber)
36
41
52
Summary:
52 is clearly high, given all sales are lower and mp.tf tends to be higher than normal, excluding 52. 25 is def low since it sold in a day; however 27 and 29 are less obvious. As 29 sold to a quickbuyer and I can’t find the mp.tf bot in the history that sold for 27 (meaning idk how long it took to sell, and it likely sold instantly since its not listed), I will go for a conservative drop of 36 - 41.
Final Price: 36 - 41 keys