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~27 keys
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Unusual Gilded Guard Disco Beat Down
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Disco Beat Down Gilded Guard


Long sugg


Selling:

https://imgur.com/a/OTUa8hc

Young @ 18

Forever @ 27


Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198243350308#!/compare/1566950400/1567036800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841796245#!/compare/1566950400/1567036800

Added 1 key for a Steaming Dapper

Enough sales here, can be used there


Sale 2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045999385#!/compare/1567123200/1567209600

Quicksold for 16 keys (1 day)

X = 16 (qs)


Sale 3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045999385#!/compare/1569110400/1569196800

Sold for a DBD Dead Cone + 4 keys

Enough sales here, can be used there


Sale 4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107031948#!/compare/1569369600/1569456000

Sold for a DP Boxcar

Enough sales here, can be used there


Sale 5:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267690751#!/compare/1569542400/1569628800

Quicksold for 11 keys in <1 day

X = 11 (qs)


Sale 6:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337982050#!/compare/1566086400/1566172800

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y7DJPDL9 - B/O was 27

Sold for a DBD Geezer (22.5, indate) + ~8 keys in taunts + 1 key

Should cap even if the geezer is a lil less now, prob a high outlier either way

X = 27 (capped by B/O)


Sale 7:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337982050#!/compare/1566604800/1566691200

Bulk for Scorching Crainium

Should be used there


Sale 8:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198213234076#!/compare/1566777600/1566864000

https://imgur.com/a/wRHnmII - Seller confirmation

Sold for 15 keys 24 ref in ~1 day

X = 16 (qs)


Sale 9:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114811502#!/compare/1566777600/1566864000

Added 4 keys for a max in 1 day (22 at the time of the sale https://bot.tf/stats/listings/YDLD217K)

22 - 4 = 18

X = 18 (qs)


Sales 10 & 11

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1093;5;u62

https://backpack.tf/item/7702200591

$27.99 / $1.81 = 15.46 keys

$33 / $1.82 = 18.13 keys

X = 15, 18


Sale 12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1568246400/1568332800

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MLRQ72QG - B/O was 13

Sold for 13 keys

X = 13


Sale 13:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1568332800/1568419200

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MXQNLLJ1

Most likely sold for 13 keys

X = 13


Sale 14:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198225715416#!/compare/1569542400/1569628800

Sold for a DBD Harmburg

Can be used there


Sale 15:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097271466#!/compare/1567036800/1567123200

Sold for 15 keys

X = 15


Sale 16:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021055079#!/compare/1567641600/1567728000

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4OVQZX9W

Probably sold to Jarool’s buy order of 12 keys 10 ref

X = 12 (qs)


Sale 17:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198203307876#!/compare/1567814400/1567900800

Also sold to Jarool’s buy order of 12 keys 10 ref

X = 12(qs)


Sales at:

11 (qs)

12 (x2, both qs)

13 (x2)

15 (x2)

16 (x2, both qs)

18 (x2, 1 qs)

27


Summary:

27 is obviously high, excluding it. 11 quicksold, and 12 went to buy orders, so calling them low. Zol and Julia both took awhile to sell at 13, so including it in the range. Alot of sales quicksold, but they are all common trading points so they will be included.


Final Price: 13 - 18 keys