Kill-a-Watt Modest Pile of Hat

Thank me later.

Selling:

https://imgur.com/a/gMacgcQ

1 month @ 16

2 weeks @ 16

At least 12 days @ 16

Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198800068699#!/compare/1568851200/1569456000

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4JG1OJR3 - B/O was 16

Sold for 16 keys

X = 16

Sale 2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198834340322#!/compare/1569110400/1569196800

Quicksold for 14 keys (<1 day)

X = 14 (qs)

Sale 3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198169444473#!/compare/1569110400/1569196800

Re-Quicksold for 14 keys (<1 day)

X =14

Sale 4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198169444473#!/compare/1569715200/1569801600

Sold for a KaW Neckware

Enough sales here, can be used there.

Sale 5:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1567209600/1567296000

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M17X5GOX - B/O was 18

Probably sold for 18 keys, can only trace 16 tho. Rubi rarely goes lower so eh.

X = 18 (maybe 16)

Sale 6:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094878213#!/compare/1567209600/1567382400

Sold for a Blizzardy Modest

Probably a high outlier given where the market is at rn

Sale 7:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198363395191#!/compare/1566777600/1566864000

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4PP9E3X3 - B/O was 18

Sold for 16 keys (histories match)

2 keys were prob spent the same day since only 16 are in the conpare

Sale 8:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1569369600/1569456000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198153443767#!/compare/1569369600/1569456000

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4KR1EKEX - B/O was 16

Likely sold for 16 keys

X = 16

Sale 9:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1568332800/1568419200

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MQ9Q1W52 - B/O was 16 keys 29 ref

Likely sold for 16 keys 29 ref

X = 17

Sale 10:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198416968198#!/compare/1566432000/1566691200

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4PP9P2D5 - B/O was 26

Sold for a Miami Tipped Lid (20, indate)

X = 20

Sale 11:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082649124#!/compare/1567209600/1567814400

Added 2 keys for a CPS Trilby (17, indate)

17 - 2 = 15

X = 15

Sale 12:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198257825336#!/compare/1567728000/1567814400

Quicksold for 16 keys (<1 day)

X = 16 (qs)

Sales 13 - 15

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/139;5;u56

$37.99 / $1.81 = 20.99 keys - https://backpack.tf/item/7865020995

$37.99 / $1.80 = 21.11 keys - https://backpack.tf/item/1886423438

$35 / $1.82 = 19.23 keys - can’t find.

Svode’s B/O (either mp sale 1 or mp sale 2) was 28 https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MLR69P3G

X = 21 (x2), 19

Sales at:

Assuming sales were at b/os in the ones where not all keys were tracable.

14 (x2, both qs)

15

16 (x3, 1 qs)

17

18 (x2)

19

20

21 (x2)

Summary:

14s qsed and is close to buyers at 13, excluding them. Excluding the mp.tf 21s as mp.tf can be high and to balance the range.

Final Price: 15 - 20 keys