Disco Beat Down Harmburg

Selling:

https://imgur.com/a/4cM4drp

Sellers down to 20

Sales 1-3:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30123;5;u62

$27.99 / $1.81 = 15.46 keys https://backpack.tf/item/7957309699

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MVRG2OO2 - B/O was 14 keys 26 ref

$29 / $1.81 = 16.02 keys https://backpack.tf/item/7957365984

$29 / $1.81 = 16.02 keys

X = 14, 16 (x2)

Sale 4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106347845#!/compare/1567468800/1568764800

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MQ95ONQ1 - b/o was 14, other sellers at 14

Sold for 14 keys to a known quickbuyer (BlazingHailfire)

X = 14

Sale 5-6:

https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=30123&q=5&ef=Disco+Beat+Down&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209640976#!/compare/1571097600/1571184000

Bought for 13 keys 16 ref - Hailfire sold for a loss, meaning 14 is prob not a qs.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305676157#!/compare/1572220800/1572307200

Sold for 14 keys 29 ref

X = 13 (qs), 15

Sale 7:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198160691752#!/compare/1572307200/1572393600

Sold for 14 keys after buying for 14.5 (see above)

X = 14 (qs)

Sale 8:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198359390706#!/compare/1569456000/1569628800

Sold for 18 keys

X = 18

Sale 9:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069265267#!/compare/1569628800/1569715200

Sold for 16 keys and some ref the next day

X = 16 (qs)

Sale 10:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1567728000/1567814400

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MQ95ONQ1 - B/O was 14

Sold for 14 keys

X = 14

Sale 11:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081042493#!/compare/1570233600/1570320000

Sold for 17 keys

X = 17

Sale 12:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1567814400/1567900800

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MQ95ONQ1 - B/O was 14

Most likely sold for 14 keys

X = 14

Sale 13:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079160799#!/compare/1567900800/1567987200

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/46NG17Z0 - B/O was 21

Added ~.5 in sweets for a Miami Tipped Lid (20, indate)

20 - .5 = 19.5

X = 20

Sale 14:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209640976#!/compare/1568073600/1568160000

Sold for 14 keys again to BlazingHailfire in 1 day

X = 14

Sale 15:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209640976#!/compare/1568937600/1569024000

Sold for 17 keys + 2 spells

Muffler sold for 3 here https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198815041071#!/compare/1568332800/1568592000

No mini on rl, has to be <3 since year old unsold at 3

Prob ~22 total

Sale 16:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198103684583#!/compare/1569196800/1569283200

Added a ToD for a Steaming Luchador, 2 pure and a ~.5 key sweet

Better used there, enough sales here

Sale 17:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198198986093#!/compare/1569196800/1569283200

Sold for a Logo L’homme + 1 key

Enough sales here, use there

Sale 18:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040254772#!/compare/1570406400/1570492800

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y5R989V5 - buy order at 13 keys 19.22 ref

Probably sold to Rubi’s buy order of 13 keys 19.22 ref

X = 13 (qs)

Sale 19:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1571961600/1572048000

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y9GVP8RD - B/O was 14 keys 19 ref

Sold for 14 keys 19 ref

X = 14

Sales at:

13 (2, both qs)

14 (x7)

15

16 (x3)

17

18

20

~22

Summary:

Sales at 13 quicksold, excluding them. 18 resold for less, and 20 + 22 seem high in general. Taking 14 - 17.

Final Price: 14 - 17 keys