Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5d59d036d381726784086a6b

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198214845747#!/compare/1564531200/1565913600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198802991149#!/compare/1565395200/1565913600

Sold for DBD YWN + 16 keys (but no proof was ever provided)

At the time of the sale, it would be 41 keys.

Sale 2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198214845747#!/compare/1566950400/1567814400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198004952793#!/compare/1567728000/1567814400

Sold alongside ~2 keys in sweets for Green Energy Dead Cone

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5dc4bf81d381724bbd60ff1f Dead Cone updating to 23 keys

This would place the Dead Cone way above the 29 key unsold and the Rocket Launcher under buyers. Excluding this sale.

Sale 3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198004952793#!/compare/1569110400/1569283200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088027693#!/compare/1568592000/1569369600

Sold for Blizzardy Rotation Sensation + Balloonibouncer Unusualifier

[[ Blizz Rotation

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30623;5;u30

August 10 - $55.56 = 31 keys

August 24 - $64.75 = 36 keys

Sep 13 - $43 = 24 keys

Sep 15 - $50 = 27 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113633658#!/compare/1572393600/1572480000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198169939863#!/compare/1572220800/1572480000

27 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198153325445#!/compare/1572480000/1572566400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118139141#!/compare/1572393600/1572480000

27 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1571443200/1571529600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019112665#!/compare/1571529600/1571616000

30 keys + 40 refined

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198799831856#!/compare/1570838400/1570924800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1570838400/1570924800

i can't find the sale but buyout was 30 keys https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4RGOKLLD

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198254285639#!/compare/1569283200/1569369600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316071886#!/compare/1569283200/1569369600

34 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198319413564#!/compare/1572393600/1572652800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1572566400/1572652800

I can't find the right key stack but buyout was 31 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/YDL0D7WK

i hope this is enough sales

sellers:

https://gyazo.com/f7638560cc412cc2f358599d9f43c94c

28, 30, 32, 40

sales (blizz rotation)

24 27 27 27 ~30.8 31 34 36

buyers at 26

going with 27-31 / 29 keys

]]

[[[ Balloonibouncer Unusualifier

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/9258;5;uncraftable;td-30763

Taking since September 22, the date of Sale 3

$13.28 = 7 keys (under scm buyers)

$12.60 = 7 keys (under scm buyers)

$22.40 = 12 keys

$22.00 x2 = 12 keys x2

$21.50 x2, $22.27, $22.50 = 12 keys x4

$33 = 18 keys - definitely seems to be an outlier

$21, $22 x2 = 12 keys x2

$28.50 = 16 keys

$28 = 16 keys

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Taunt%3A%20The%20Balloonibouncer%20Unusualifier

Taking from October 7 to 23. There's a lot of sales and listing every single one would be overkill.

I'm not start from September 22 because most of the sales there are under current SCM buy orders (Halloween hype, you know).

Excluding everything under $16.00, as that is the price of buy orders. https://gyazo.com/2ed663f2c0ac95c18be1d806bffaa306

Unsurprisingly, the price sales the same for the majority of October regardless.

typing hurts

$17.18 = 7.3

$17.25 = 7.3

$19.99 = 8.5

$21.90 = 9.3

$21.00 = 8.9

$17.89 = 7.6

$21.96 = 9.3

$21.96 = 9.3

$21.98 = 9.3

$21.88 = 9.3

$17.85 = 7.6

$17.92 = 7.6

$17.98 = 7.6

$22.90 = 9.7

$16.50 = 7

$18.00 = 7.7

$18.76 = 8

$19.00 = 8.1

$16.99 = 7.2

$16.96 = 7.2

$16.88 = 7.2

$16.87 = 7.2

$16.86 = 7.2

$16.90 = 7.2

$17.91 = 7.6

$18.88 = 8

$19.23 = 8.2

I'm sorry but I'm also going to take a universal key price of 2.35 for each of these sales. It's just overkill to note every .1-.2 change in key prices.

SCM price - Approximately 7 to 9 keys

Marketplace price - Approximately 12-18 keys

Unsolds on SCM for approximately $25 = ~10 keys

https://gyazo.com/3fef53fb0f2e57b454a6a08cd3ae832c

Classifieds:

Sellers at 13 and 14 keys

https://gyazo.com/1c6f010cc3482640fcf877bcf9dbac73

Going with ~8.5 / 9 keys for the Unusualifier.

]]]

Sale 3 is 38 keys.

sale 3 over

Sale 4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088027693#!/compare/1571270400/1571356800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050442431#!/compare/1571270400/1571356800

20 keys? low

Sale 5:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050442431#!/compare/1571529600/1571616000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026129220#!/compare/1571529600/1571616000

21 keys - also low

Marketplace:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/205;15;u701;w3;pk217;kt-2

Oct 26 - $59.99 = 33 keys

Nov 6 - $59.99 = 34 keys

Sales:

33 (Marketplace)

34 (Marketplace)

38 (Blizz Rotation + Unusualifier)

41 (Supposed DBD YWN + 16 keys)

20 (quicksell)

21 (quicksell)

21 (Dead Cone)

Lot of sales at 20-21, but buyers counter them all.

https://gyazo.com/10d258e61286bfb7912152a1f66ee831

Going with 33-38. The 41 DBD YWN sale is going out of sale within this week anyway.