Burning Flames Head Hedge

Weird one

Selling:

https://imgur.com/a/6hWhO7C

3 Young sellers @ 39, buyers at 36

Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047706237#!/compare/1569196800/1569283200

Most likely sold for 44 pure. My guess is the korean guy bought keys off of sprunk.xg https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059482524#!/compare/1569283200/1569801600 - cashing out keys by the looks.

And spend them on the hedge before inventory updated

X = 44

Sale 2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094302389#!/compare/1569801600/1569888000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097271466#!/compare/1569801600/1569888000

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MGZGPKEW

Sold to Heavyweaponsguy’s buy order of 37 keys 4 ref

X = 37 (qs)

Sale 3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198278481498#!/compare/1572566400/1572652800

Bulk qs.

Sale 4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131452826#!/compare/1572566400/1572998400

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4RG5Q9LK

Most likely sold to zol’s buy order of 36 keys .11 ref

X = 36 (qs)

Sale 5:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031657211#!/compare/1573084800/1573344000

Sold for 36 keys 9.66 ref

X = 36 (qs)

Sale 6:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094764602#!/compare/1566345600/1566432000

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MLRZ8G5G - B/O was 50

Quicksold for pure:

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4ZKJRKV1 - 18 +

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y5R56692 - 10 +

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MNLOWD3J 12.5 +

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y7DQZ36N 9.5 = 50 total.

Most likely 50 pure

X = 50

Sale 7:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104888831#!/compare/1565740800/1565827200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057200043#!/compare/1565481600/1565827200

Added a bit over 3 keys in adds for a PE Noble

Can be used there

Sale 8:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097271466#!/compare/1570579200/1570665600

Sold for 42 pure

X = 42

Sale 9:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082333662#!/compare/1565740800/1565827200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057200043#!/compare/1565827200/1565913600

Sold with 8 keys + ~1.5 keys in items for HG Dapper's Topper

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5dae7dc667807205281bd980

46.5 - 9.5 = 37

X = 37

Sales 10-12

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30978;5;u13

Sept 23. $63.2 / $1.82 = 34.73 keys

Oct 7 $83.99 / $1.82 = 46.15 keys https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MQ9D6RK0 B/O was 46

Nov 1 $83.99 / $1.79 = 46.92 keys

Sale 13:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082333662#!/compare/1568419200/1568505600

Sold for 48 keys

Buyer dumped to known quickbuyer after for an unknown amount, probably pure.

X = 48

Sale 14:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198360988394#!/compare/1570492800/1571184000

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4JGZ3ZO7 - Buy order was 36

Dump to zol for most likely 36 keys

X = 36 (qs)

Sale 15:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1571270400/1571356800

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y5R61K03 - B/O was 40

Most likely sold for 40 keys

X = 40

Sale 16:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088253565#!/compare/1571270400/1571356800

Sold for 36 keys the same day (4 key loss)

X = 36 (qs)

Sale 17:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107557018#!/compare/1571616000/1571702400

Sold for 43 keys

X = 43

Sale 18:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113584226#!/compare/1571961600/1572048000

Sold for an Aussie SMG (7) + Slumber Exe (~29) + DP Bot (~9)

Enough sales here, would fit range

Sale 19:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198213234076#!/compare/1572048000/1572134400

Logo Casemakle + 5 keys + 2 in items

Better used there

Sale 20:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198416405381#!/compare/1572393600/1572480000

40 keys + sub zero

X = 40

Sale 21:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074422721#!/compare/1572739200/1572825600

Dumped to zol for 4 keys less

X = 36 (qs)

Sales at:

35

36 (x5, all qs)

37 (x2, 1 qs)

40 (x2)

42

43

44

46

47

48 (buyer dumped for less)

50

Summary:

Buyers up to 36, sellers (all young) down to 39. 36 is a common trading point, including it. Calling 35 low, 48 and 50 high (since 48 buyer dumped for less, 2 month old seller at 50) Sale at 47 might be mp.tf but is recent, no other indications it being too high other than the lower sellers. Sales throughout the 40-47 range so not gonna exclude anything else.

Final Price: 36 - 47 keys