Thanks serp and everyone!

Resuggestion

(old suggestion)

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30704;5;u105

8/1 $150 / 1.8 = 83

https://backpack.tf/item/4446057511 https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4RGGL7X9 no b/o

8/9 $170 / 1.83 = 93

https://backpack.tf/item/4256654753 user banned, no b/o

Sale 1: Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026398985#!/compare/1565913600/1566345600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1565913600/1566000000

Sale 2: Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055694560#!/compare/1560988800/1565136000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198001786794#!/compare/1559779200/1561334400

Sale 3: Oneway?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198001786794#!/compare/1562976000/1564099200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130979887#!/compare/1555200000/1563062400

Sale 4: Scorching Pithy | definitely needed there for range but by existing sales without it; would be ~80

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118601370#!/compare/1564444800/1564790400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130979887#!/compare/1564444800/1565395200

Sale 5: Went w/ Slumber Cotton (40-45, see below), for VHP Spaceman (88 | 45k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198205939253#!/compare/1561852800/1561939200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099652804#!/compare/1561852800/1561939200

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4ZGXG3JM

Sale 6: Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100484031#!/compare/1562198400/1562284800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198205939253#!/compare/1562284800/1562371200

Sale 7, 8: 2x same day

> Went w/ hot prok bomber scatter fn (30) for dbd boa (ranging indate w/ unsold 80-107 / 94 | 64k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137138415#!/compare/1564617600/1564704000

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y8EEZGQW no cap

> SBTWC Pardner (duped, 1 tracable sale, not usable here or there, exclude)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198304302520#!/compare/1564704000/1564790400

Sale 9: Mallard Modest (48)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045691027#!/compare/1564185600/1564876800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058751051#!/compare/1564790400/1564876800

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5d791d6a67807242ca64b42e

Sale 10: C9 HKC (40k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192602363#!/compare/1565222400/1565395200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128792431#!/compare/1560816000/1565395200

Sale 11: 64k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198254984333#!/compare/1560729600/1561075200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1560988800/1561075200

Sale 12: HG Woolen (looks like theres no mini at all there, nothing but gambling on the only active history)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198254984333#!/compare/1561852800/1562198400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054342002#!/compare/1561852800/1561939200

Sale 13: C9 woods + MN Cari | use on woods

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310944756#!/compare/1562284800/1562371200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054342002#!/compare/1562284800/1562371200

Sale 14: C9 Woods + 17k + 72 cracker | use on woods

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198286257338#!/compare/1562630400/1562716800 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059703923#!/compare/1562630400/1562716800

Sale 15: Went w/ 5 for GE Snap (109) | 104k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198170098378#!/compare/1565740800/1565913600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059703923#!/compare/1565827200/1565913600

Sale 16: Went w/ 10 for DBD Crones (131) | 121

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198170098378#!/compare/1566345600/1566432000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198170143095#!/compare/1566345600/1566432000

Sale 17: PE Bomber + 3k (1 other sale there, better there)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141559134#!/compare/1566432000/1566518400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198170143095#!/compare/1566432000/1566518400

Sale 18: 34k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198298597700#!/compare/1561420800/1561507200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1561507200/1561593600

Sale 19: Oneway

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198362008411#!/compare/1563840000/1563926400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198874388908#!/compare/1563840000/1563926400

Sale 20: DP Tundra (14) + Slumber Kiss (19) + HG Eyewear (29) | 62

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198143069094#!/compare/1563840000/1564012800 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198362008411#!/compare/1563926400/1564012800

> no b/o because seller is banned

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5d7e86bed38172142b5e582c

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5d7e8eb7678072785c7e55f1

Sale 21: Eldritch Prehistoric (61) + 35k adds | cap at 90k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198143069094#!/compare/1564531200/1564617600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150928348#!/compare/1564099200/1564617600

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4EEEDZWQ

Sale 22, 23: 2x same day

> Swirl Conga + hot fest prok aqua rl ww + twatt sam (13) + neutron nasty (22) |

Buyers on the conga / rl cap this at 89k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129205357#!/compare/1563667200/1563753600

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M0DZQG7V

> Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198312579376#!/compare/1563753600/1563840000

>> 22/23 from https://backpack.tf/item/4292463514 rest there is tradeback / contributory

_

Duped sbtwc parder mini

> incomplete

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198431601848#!/compare/1563235200/1564704000

_

Slumber Cotton mini

https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Cotton%20Head/Tradable/Craftable/110

Sale 1: 45k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198317418604#!/compare/1564531200/1564617600

Sale 2: Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048017265#!/compare/1565222400/1565308800

Sale 3: Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198205939253#!/compare/1561852800/1561939200

Sale 4: Went w/ 3 for misty toque

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198205939253#!/compare/1562198400/1562284800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125295112#!/compare/1562198400/1562284800

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y5XLRJ94 b/o of 40

Sale 5, 6: 2x same day

> Gfetti Salty (25) | way below buyers

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125295112#!/compare/1564531200/1564790400

> Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071140072#!/compare/1564790400/1564876800

Sale 7: Went w/ 6 for c9 salty (low af, buyers here above unsold there without the keys added, this would be even lower)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198159393035#!/compare/1565308800/1565395200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091502579#!/compare/1565222400/1565308800

_

Toque likely needs the sale more than this does (more outdated) however, even with the toque, we have massively discrepant sales (2 ~20 and 2 well above 40) this cant be updated but for the sake of the mini, I’m going to range the capped toque (since buyers there virtually cap anyway) with the usable pure sale and just call 5 and 7 way too low, since they’re too low on the cotton anyway. Additionally, this is a minority part of the prehistoric sale, so 40-45 should suffice as buyers well counter the lower sales.

________

Sales

34

40

45

48

62

64

64

80 (this specific one is a use-there but theres enough sales there to generate a theoretical range that the prehistoric would support the middle of

83

89

90

93

104

121

Time to sale for all

64 pure / 9 days

34 pure / 2mo

80 / 2 weeks

45 / 1 day

64 / 9 days

48 / 2 weeks

40 / 9mo? likely less

104 / ~1mo

121 / 5 days

62 / 2 days

90 / 5 days

89 / 2 weeks

MP sale is hard to date accurately, however both had been listed for 9-10 days each.

(New Sales)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198110827768#!/compare/1569110400/1569196800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198394877897#!/compare/1569110400/1569196800

Sold for ~52 keys to a bot

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118601370#!/compare/1571184000/1571443200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197972389354#!/compare/1571270400/1571443200

Sold with ~5 keys in sweets for PE Tipped(76.5)

Total is 71.5 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4PPW65J5

B/O of 88 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086556424#!/compare/1569369600/1569542400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126707319#!/compare/1564185600/1569542400

Sold for ~33 keys in sweets?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126707319#!/compare/1571443200/1571529600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198259986634#!/compare/1571356800/1571529600

Sold for 82 keys, though it may be worth clarifying with owner / seller.

---

Given what mods suggested in the old suggestion, im going with 62 - 90 keys and getting rid of the buyorder sales.