i take last 2 months

//

MP

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1112;5;u3005

Oct 20 - $9.99 = 5.52 keys

Nov 7 - $6.00 = 3.35 keys

Nov 11 - $9.99 = 5.55 keys

Nov 17 - $8.00 = 4.49 keys

Dec 6 - $7.50 = 4.4 keys

//

bot.tf

https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=1112&q=5&ef=Fountain%20of%20Delight&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0&source=browser_script

https://gyazo.com/272be6687f1bae6b0b0d673b2c7b9b03

1 @ 4 keys 10/6/2019, 11:51:25 AM

1 @ 3 keys, 40.00 ref 10/29/2019, 8:48:16 PM

1 @ 4 keys, 8.00 ref 11/15/2019, 8:45:54 PM

1 @ 3 keys, 44.00 ref 11/30/2019, 9:47:29 PM

1 @ 4 keys 12/3/2019, 3:48:42 AM

1 @ 3 keys, 34.00 ref 12/9/2019, 11:16:41 AM

1 @ 3 keys, 40.00 ref 12/11/2019, 3:38:03 AM

1 @ 3 keys, 40.00 ref 12/13/2019, 10:26:18 PM

1 @ 4 keys, 8.00 ref 12/15/2019, 9:22:28 AM

//

mannco.store

https://mannco.store/item/6900

Oct 4 - $5.00 = 3 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/6125091705

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068681977#!/compare/1573257600/1573344000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198847593053#!/compare/1573171200/1573344000

Bulk

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198286543973#!/compare/1572825600/1572912000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035286460#!/compare/1572825600/1572912000

Untraceable

//

https://backpack.tf/item/7731965925

An untraceable tradeit.gg sale

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305676157#!/compare/1576022400/1576108800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071533111#!/compare/1575763200/1576108800

Quicksold to bot after tradeit.gg sale

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198249668354#!/compare/1576022400/1576540800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305676157#!/compare/1576108800/1576195200

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MNL22WW3 https://bot.tf/stats/listings/YDLQQR3V

This is the 3 keys 40 refined bot.tf sale on Dec 13.

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081298689#!/compare/1572998400/1573084800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168863803#!/compare/1572998400/1573084800

Bulk

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055224435#!/compare/1573344000/1573430400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198440443334#!/compare/1573344000/1573430400

Untraceable

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198440443334#!/compare/1573689600/1573776000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198335791307#!/compare/1573689600/1573776000

Sold to bot for 3 keys and 38 refined, this is a bot.tf buy order actually (Dec 15)

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198354459626#!/compare/1573776000/1573862400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198335791307#!/compare/1573776000/1573862400

Sold one day after the above sale for 4 keys and 8 refined, this is the Dec 15 bot.tf sale

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198431421139#!/compare/1574640000/1574726400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134167686#!/compare/1573862400/1574812800

Untraceable

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070775088#!/compare/1571356800/1574726400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059335107#!/compare/1572134400/1572480000

Bulk

//

https://backpack.tf/item/4355402755

Scammer stuff

//

https://backpack.tf/item/3576660679

More scammer stuff

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198340634356#!/compare/1570233600/1570320000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112432776#!/compare/1570320000/1570579200

4 keys, this is the Oct 6 bot.tf sale

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198217685343#!/compare/1574380800/1574726400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198243410170#!/compare/1574640000/1574726400

Bulk

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198243410170#!/compare/1575417600/1575504000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055953839#!/compare/1572480000/1575504000

4 keys

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334598690#!/compare/1572048000/1572134400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122143684#!/compare/1572048000/1572134400

Untraceable

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197966756586#!/compare/1570233600/1570406400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064011608#!/compare/1570406400/1570752000

Untraceable

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305676157#!/compare/1572307200/1572393600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198149031619#!/compare/1572307200/1572393600

This is the 3 keys 40 refined bot.tf sale on Oct 29.

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198976727725#!/compare/1572998400/1573776000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198011827547#!/compare/1573171200/1573689600

Bulk

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198028304374#!/compare/1553040000/1573257600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197970486564#!/compare/1571788800/1571875200

Bulk

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198245967542#!/compare/1568764800/1570665600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197994013180#!/compare/1479168000/1573516800

Untraceable

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198376926743#!/compare/1574726400/1574899200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198011827547#!/compare/1574640000/1574726400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198376926743#!/compare/1574640000/1574726400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123765286#!/compare/1574640000/1574726400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123765286#!/compare/1574726400/1574812800

Untraceable, it moved three times this day and ended up with a bot.

//

https://backpack.tf/item/2752303998

Tradebacks, I have skipped over them

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198253735282#!/compare/1575763200/1575849600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198838447026#!/compare/1575763200/1575849600

This is the December 9 bot.tf sale for 3 keys and 34 refined

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305676157#!/compare/1576368000/1576454400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305676157#!/compare/1576368000/1576454400

3 keys 19 refined

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198354273817#!/compare/1574380800/1575158400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198340634356#!/compare/1575072000/1575158400

Untraceable

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130720294#!/compare/1575244800/1575331200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198340634356#!/compare/1575244800/1575331200

Most likely the December 3 bot.tf sale for 4 keys.

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198994314022#!/compare/1575331200/1575417600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130720294#!/compare/1575331200/1575417600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198419584303#!/compare/1573344000/1575331200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198419584303#!/compare/1575331200/1576022400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305676157#!/compare/1575244800/1575331200

Untraceable

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305676157#!/compare/1575849600/1576022400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105731173#!/compare/1575849600/1576022400

This is most likely the 3 keys and 40 refined bot.tf sale on December 11.

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105731173#!/compare/1576195200/1576281600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099260958#!/compare/1576195200/1576281600

Bulk

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099260958#!/compare/1576281600/1576368000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198872628170#!/compare/1576281600/1576368000

Untraceable

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197963396109#!/compare/1576195200/1576281600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198872628170#!/compare/1576281600/1576368000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197963396109#!/compare/1576281600/1576368000

Untraceable

///

Sales:

3

3.4

3.4

3.7

3.8

3.8

3.8

3.9

4

4

4

4.2

4.2

4.4

4.5

5.5

5.6

Sellers:

https://gyazo.com/1a7a7ddbc0c0f288f2647e5e124a2b4c

bot for 3.8

2 weeks for 4 keys

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1112;5;u3005

https://gyazo.com/4e35a5926a95c70d62c43a9f5d21167f

$7.50 = ~4.5 keys

$9.99 = ~6 keys

(Marketplace buy orders at ~$5.90, approximately 3.5 keys)

mmmmm, lets go with 3.7-4 keys