Suggestion: Mystical Medley Berlin Brain Bowl at 140 keys

With a key and a key in ref for an Orbiting Fire Valley Forge. Forge is 2 years outdated https://backpack.tf/item/7071822459 back and forth between scrap.tf bots, better use there

Sale 11. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049217379#!/compare/1575849600/1576195200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069493147#!/compare/1576108800/1576195200 P.Fetti Reg and some ref sweets

Reg micro

Sale 1. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109506971#!/compare/1571529600/1571616000

https://backpack.tf/item/319649265 KaW Metal Drill Hat (14) + 2 keys + victory lap (3.28)

= 19.28

Sale 2. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198839998022#!/compare/1575590400/1575676800

= 9 keys

Sale 3. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049217379#!/compare/1575676800/1575763200

With a key for a searing commander (unpriced) better use there

Sale 4. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198964607444#!/compare/1572825600/1572912000 Bulk

Sale 5. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069493147#!/compare/1576281600/1576368000

DP Steel Pot (14) + DP Cadaver’s (6)

= 20 keys

Total: 9, 15, 12, 13, 19.28, 20

= 14.713 keys

Bicorne mini

Sale 1.

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/607;5;u60

$21.99/1.82 = 12 keys

Sale 2.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198823641017#!/compare/1574640000/1574726400 Blizzardy Storm Sinner's Shade (9.23)

= 9.23 keys

Sale 3.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148603748#!/compare/1574985600/1575072000 9 pure

= 9 keys

Sale 4. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067599794#!/compare/1574726400/1574812800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198204882693#!/compare/1574726400/1574812800

Toy Tailor 4 years outdated, a lot better use there

Sale 5. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148603748#!/compare/1574726400/1574899200

7 keys, quicksell

Sale 6. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148603748#!/compare/1574985600/1575072000

= 9 keys

Sale 7. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198983616530#!/compare/1575072000/1575158400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198208426417#!/compare/1574985600/1575158400

Prob cash, excluding

12, 9.23, 9, 9

= 9.8075 keys

Sinner micro

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198171114443#!/compare/1568937600/1569196800 9 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198823641017#!/compare/1574726400/1574812800 9.5 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049268686#!/compare/1574726400/1574812800 9 keys + 0.2 sweets

Tyrolean mini

Sale 1. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198096572920#!/compare/1571184000/1571875200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120495102#!/compare/1539475200/1540425600 No idea

Sale 2..

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220465784#!/compare/1574467200/1574812800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198353309101#!/compare/1574294400/1574467200 HG Fragproof Fragger (32.5) + 1 key

= 33.5 keys

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198273123292#!/compare/1575504000/1575676800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060256004#!/compare/1575590400/1575676800 Sunbeams Motif (34)

= 34 keys

Motif micro

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5d8ec7b4d38172022f732dc5

28-40 Creds to Shuffle Spy

= 34 keys

Sale 3.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139875785#!/compare/1574294400/1574380800 T.Watt Hong Kong Cone (30)

= 30 keys

Sale 4. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156143814#!/compare/1571443200/1571529600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070962612#!/compare/1571184000/1571443200 Beams Tyrolean, better use there, unpriced

33.5, 34, 30

= 32.5 keys

Whoopee mini

Sale 1.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198297677084#!/compare/1576108800/1576368000 8 pure

Sale 2.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197998103691#!/compare/1575504000/1575849600 7 pure

Sale 3. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198832624621#!/compare/1574294400/1574380800

DP Stout Shako (8) + 1 key

= 9 keys

Sale 4. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198246881314#!/compare/1573344000/1573862400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198801810978#!/compare/1573344000/1573430400 Cash?

Sale 5. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198832624621#!/compare/1574380800/1574467200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198883615002#!/compare/1574380800/1574467200 Not sure

Total: 7,8,9 = 8 keys

SnaggleTooth mini

https://backpack.tf/item/1556186234

https://backpack.tf/item/8024902313

https://backpack.tf/item/1704969335

Sale 1.

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/229;5;u34

$17.23/1.82

~9 keys

Sale 2.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198272088339#!/compare/1574294400/1574380800

Better use on Vizier

= 9 keys

Crown Mini

Sales 1-3

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30567;5;u58

$69.99/1.8 = 38.883333333

$69.99/1.79 = 39.10055866

$67.99/1.69 = 40.23076923

Sale 4.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198169939863#!/compare/1574985600/1575072000 with 16 keys for a Smoking Beak (51.5)

= 35.5 keys

Beak Micro

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5ddf3e50d3817275344cf197 51.5 keys

Sale 5.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021366143#!/compare/1572307200/1572393600

With Strange Pyro the Flamedeeer (2.95) + Dueling Bando (1.35) for a Peace Company Man (23.5) No usable sales on the Companyman - excluding

Sale 6.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198236007746#!/compare/1574294400/1574380800

Strange Summer Shades (4.2) + Strange Awp (8.13) + Max Head (21.78)

= 34.11 keys

Sale 7.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063134983#!/compare/1574553600/1574640000

Burning Bolted Birdcage (31)

= 31 keys

Sale 8. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244916538#!/compare/1574899200/1575590400

Scorching Full metal Drill Hat

= High outlier

Sale 9. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089253101#!/compare/1570752000/1570838400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198323565601#!/compare/1570752000/1570838400 Not sure but looks like a package qs deal

Sale 10 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106332769#!/compare/1570924800/1571011200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089253101#!/compare/1570924800/1571011200

25 keys + DP Boron Beanie () + Aces Cadaver’s Cranium ()

Excluding, no usable micro on Boron

Boron histories checked

https://backpack.tf/item/2256247434

https://backpack.tf/item/7957418640

https://backpack.tf/item/2192531324

https://backpack.tf/item/2200668032

https://backpack.tf/item/2091930755

Sale 11.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089253101#!/compare/1572307200/1572393600

No clue, histories don’t match

Sale 12.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106332769#!/compare/1571356800/1571529600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198401410101#!/compare/1570492800/1571356800

With Abyssal Aura Convict Cap (14) for 46 keys

= 32 keys

Convict micro

Sale 1.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130415542#!/compare/1574899200/1576281600

= 12 keys

Sale 2.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073134809#!/compare/1574035200/1574985600

= 11 keys

Sale 3. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049098788#!/compare/1575072000/1575244800

Flammable Bubbles of Attraction Soviet Strongarm (14) + Snack Attack (1.1)

= 15.1 keys

Sale 4. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057747574#!/compare/1575936000/1576022400

10 keys pure (buyers at 9.5 keys https://prnt.sc/qc7fg3 quicksell, excluding)

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31080;5;u125

$25/1.81 = 13.8121547

$30/1.8 (x2) = 16.67

$23/1.8 = 12.78

$22.05/1.78 = 12.38764045

$30/1.79 (x2) = 16.75977654

$22/1.8 = 12.22

$29/1.73 = 16.76300578

$16.6/1.69 = 9.822485207

$24.5/1.68 = 14.5833

$20.02/1.68 = 11.9167

$20/1.67 = 11.9760479

$23/1.66 (x2) = 13.85542169

All sales total fall between 11.9167 - 16.67

= 14.29335 ~14 keys

Sale 13. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089253101#!/compare/1573084800/1573171200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097171432#!/compare/1573084800/1573171200 Histories don’t match, excluding

Sale 14. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047988243#!/compare/1575763200/1575849600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198928347702#!/compare/1575763200/1575849600 Histories don’t match, excluding

Total for Crown

38.883333333, 39.10055866, 40.23076923, 35.5, 34.11, 31, 32

= 41.80410465 keys

Also thanks Fish for the feedback

Wouldn’t expect that much, gg on sale

1. These minis should be in the form of full suggestions.

2. What did you buy it for? That sale is still in date.

Got it from Luxray who added me to trade for the shotgun I had since it once belonged to him and he wanted it back. I obliged and a trade was done, I had not listed the shotgun on market at the time or ever. Either way it is extremely low and close to buyers. For full suggestions, if you mean to make full suggestions on each hat then link those here then I sure I can do that.

Numerous things wrong here

a) you forgot to mention this

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/509960551762493450/657086963332939846/unknown.png

which is likely far lower than 140k even with a high estimate, without a mini it's very hard to tell.

The only "recent" sale, aka the 36k value, was a SCM sale in august 2017.

b) minis aren't in own suggestions

not sure why

c) this sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109756155#!/compare/1571443200/1571529600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198159569672#!/compare/1571443200/1571529600

omni orb shellmet when suggested would prob be around 25-35k

will be at buyers when the entire sale is evalutated

So you have sales at

below buyers, shotgun, and 140

this is better left unpriced

a) Luxray the person I bought it from wanted the shotgun back to keep since he owned it before and added me for it. I did not list the shotgun on market he added me about it, plus that is an extremely low outlier

b) wdym aren't in full suggestions? How should I fix this I thought I did everything required

c) That is a really low outlier, as you mentioned the items totalled up would be below buyers anyways.

if you have two sales as "low outliers" and one high sale - the high sale is the outlier.

the "low outliers" can't even be considered as valid sales so no and that wouldn't make this sale a high outlier at all, it's simply the only usable sale.

Even if the sales can't be used, they do contribute to a discrepancy and support a lower price because of how low they are versus your single high sale. Though I'm not comfortable accepting right now, I'd be willing to leave this up and see if more sales pop up.

No new sales, no evidence for either end being too high or too low. I'd close this.

Just to clarify, the OmniOrb Shellmet trade is not usable at all even for consideration

The trade was the Berlin + adds for the Shellmet, confirmation from the buyer:

https://imgur.com/a/YTh0INq

Puts the Berlin way under buyers and way over OmniOrb Shellmet sales, so it wouldn’t be appropriate to use it for either trade.

And as for the Shotgun trade, this trade could be used there. Shotgun doesn’t have sales, and its not uncommon for Strange Elite Grade FN weapons to have such a high price on them. Last sale being two years ago doesn’t make the price accurate today. Skins especially have seen an overall rising trend on backpack.tf, so it’s not unorthodox that it sold for this much.

with sales at like 15 and 140, this shouldn't be priced. it's that simple really

buyer wasn't there at the time of the 15k sale, and comparatively 140 is very high.

and of course it would be over omni orb shellmet sales, the shellmet obviously isn't 140.