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RIP vince :sadcheem:
Sale #1: Sold for Strange Mystical Medley Polar Bear and Frostbite Head Warmer
History: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076469786#!/compare/1573689600/1573776000
Mini on Polar Bear : https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084937685#!/compare/1571529600/1571616000 110 pure
Frostbite Head Warmer has a 3 week old price at 250 keys and it's indate. (https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5dc1f4f667807214162b3d8b)
250+110= 360 The b/o (buyout) for sale #1 is 350 keys so sale #1 should be capped there - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y7D0EDEL
Taking flat 350 keys
Sale #2: (Use sale #2 while updating Bonzo Brim) Sold for Bonzo Brim Bullets and 60 keys pure
History: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082625126#!/compare/1573776000/1574812800
Bonzo Brim Bullets had a price of 120 keys 4 months ago, still has active buy orders, max is 124 key buy order which is still active.
Bonzo Brim Page: https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Brim-Full%20Of%20Bullets/Tradable/Craftable/81
After the sale 2, Bonzo Brim listed at 300 keys, while having 124 keys of buy order.
Proof: https://gyazo.com/6da26d5769db2c6cb23635958ff115ae
Since the first sale has a b/o of 350 keys on sale #1, i am going to give this Demonic Scout Hat flat 350 keys.
Overall taking 350 keys flat.
The brim resold, and that sale seems to be ending up significantly lower:
The brim sold with 30 for this mystical medley millenial:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083122789#!/compare/1577318400/1577491200
That sold for an etherial eyewear + max
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198377796587#!/compare/1572652800/1572912000
The eyewear sold for a burning pomade
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198353908023#!/compare/1571788800/1571875200
The pomade sold with wood peak for scorching boa
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198353908023#!/compare/1572307200/1572393600
That's pretty bulky but would make the pomade ~200 (based on my comments on the peak)
That would make the eyewear ~200, the millenial ~220 and the brim ~190 (and thus the sale for the tossle ~250)
The tossle itself also resold twice:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197963038974#!/compare/1578268800/1578355200 in bulk
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082625126#!/compare/1577923200/1578009600 spellbound tyrantium + stuff, which will probably also end up around 250 (maybe ~260 ish) if counting the spells*.
*I checked a ton of histories on spelled aussie scatters, and it seems that all of them either sell to bots, or they sell way too high/low (e.g 1 sold for like 80 in hats and then resold for ~30), other sales seem to be scm or it sold for other spelled garbo, which is not really workable either. The same kinda goes for the original; so the 250-260 appraisal is a slight bump up to sorta account for it (otherwise it'd be ~240).
350 flat is a no-go here; I'd even be willing to go as far as to say the sale shouldn't be used at all seeing how it resold for over 100 less.