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event sugg #24, team 7
Sale 1: 34k
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30114;5;u17
$60 on 11/25
Sale 2: 23k?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198342161127#!/compare/1570060800/1570147200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165519914#!/compare/1513468800/1570147200
ids match, not sure, but def qs if so
Sale 3: bulk for burning tundra
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165519914#!/compare/1570320000/1570665600
Sale 4: untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198033378852#!/compare/1573084800/1573430400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047941585#!/compare/1573084800/1573257600
Sale 5: high outlier
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047941585#!/compare/1574812800/1575158400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198177637937#!/compare/1575072000/1575158400
Hot ft spark of life medi (30) + lantern ushanka
no mini on ushanka, but taking outdated price would put this at 66 with an unsold for five months at 55.
B/O was 55 in sale 2, so I really doubt it sold for 23.
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MLR1WX68
Excluding that there are sales at 34 and 66 (?). Best to wait for more unless you can find evidence for sale 2.
https://imgur.com/a/y6wDvYl
does this not help?
ill add the owner
Both sales happened around the same timeframe (~1 week). An unsold at 50 does indicate that 66 is high but does not tell if 34 is too low or not.
If you can find evidence for sale 2 then that will be great.
https://imgur.com/a/IVnS2o9
user declined to add screenshot
Gonna ask other mods, leave this open for the time being.
I think with the weird limbo-esque state of this suggestion that taking 34 flat for now is probably the best thing we can do. Because even if we could consider a screenshot of a chat message as enough evidence(that could very easily be fabricated mind you, i'm not saying this was the case here but it's definitely a possibility), the sellers have not budged at all since this suggestion was made, and have been unsuccessful at 50 for months. So even if 55 was not just a valid sale but a pure sale, it's clear that the market has changed since the now 4 month old sale.
As such, I'm accepting this. This can be updated when it resells if it really is worth more than 34 Keys.