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Resuggestion, thanks to K1ng for the info!
Christmas Event 2019!
Team 5 is Alive!
Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198431725617#!/compare/1571875200/1571961600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116597185#!/compare/1571788800/1571875200
6 keys 40 refs
Sale 2:
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/181;5;u36
https://backpack.tf/item/1392926512
Mp.tf $15.99 / $1.81 = 8.83 keys
Sale 3:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067714525#!/compare/1569628800/1569715200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198323565601#!/compare/1569542400/1569628800
QS
poorly bumped unsold for ~7.5 keys,
taking the range, conserves around unsold.
K1ng's Part:
Sale 1 actually rounds up to 7:
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4W603WO5 ----- keys were around 51.66 at the time
looks like the seller sold as well:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116597185#!/compare/1577059200/1577145600
Yeah, 7-7.5 should be fine. Marketplace sellers are at $12.59, which is below sale 2.