Verdant Vortex Convict Cap

First suggestion of 2020! Happy new year :)

Mptf sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31080;5;u132

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6

Note: Bot.tf does not have any listings history as of Jan 3, 2020. https://bot.tf/stats/listings?def=31080&q=5&ef=Verdant%20Vortex&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0&source=browser_script

Sold for $20 on Oct 28, 2019. Key price on that day was $1.80, which gives us 11.11 keys.

Rounding to 11 keys.

Couldn't find the history.

Sold for $15 on Nov 2, 2019. Key price on that day was $1.80, which gives us 8.33 keys.

Rounding to 8.5 keys.

Couldn't find the history.

Sold for $15 on Nov 19, 2019. Key price on that day was $1.77, which gives us 8.47 keys.

Rounding to 8.5 keys.

Couldn't find the history.

Sold for $15 on Dec 7, 2019. Key price on that day was $1.69, which gives us 8.88 keys.

Rounding to 9 keys.

https://backpack.tf/item/8160665027 - History.

No b/o found.

Sold for $13.29 on Dec 24, 2019. Key price on that day was $1.75, which gives us 7.59 keys.

Rounding to 7.5 keys.

https://backpack.tf/item/8219901319 - History(?)

No b/o found.

Sold for $17 on Dec 26, 2019. Key price on that day was $1.78, which gives us 9.55 keys.

Rounding to 9.5 keys.

Couldn't find the history.

Sold for $11.67 on Dec 29, 2019. Key price on that day was $1.78, which gives us 6.56 keys.

This sale is below buy orders on mptf, excluding - https://imgur.com/a/lXl66XP

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070637388#!/compare/1571616000/1571788800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089664680#!/compare/1571529600/1571702400

Sold for 10 keys.

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089664680#!/compare/1571702400/1571788800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072439676#!/compare/1571529600/1571788800

Bulk for Frostbite Shooter's Sola Topi.

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072439676#!/compare/1572220800/1572307200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311291857#!/compare/1569974400/1572307200

Untrace(?) Only match is on the Misty Skull Burning Bandana, but the dates on the histories don't match.

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311291857#!/compare/1572652800/1572912000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026129220#!/compare/1572566400/1572739200

Untrace.

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198200475465#!/compare/1572480000/1572912000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964546925#!/compare/1572480000/1572652800

Untrace.

Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964546925#!/compare/1574812800/1574985600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061402527#!/compare/1574726400/1574985600

Untrace.

Sale 7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061402527#!/compare/1575590400/1575849600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041108750#!/compare/1575590400/1575763200

Untrace.

Sale 8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041108750#!/compare/1576108800/1576195200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198323565601#!/compare/1576108800/1576281600

Untrace, likely QS to bot.

Sale 9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089253101#!/compare/1576454400/1576627200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059021831#!/compare/1576454400/1576627200

Untrace.

Sale 10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198329732866#!/compare/1572220800/1572393600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198335791307#!/compare/1572220800/1572393600

Untrace, likely QS to bot.

Sale 11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040196270#!/compare/1572220800/1577232000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198377792155#!/compare/1577145600/1577318400

Untrace.

Sale 12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198377792155#!/compare/1577318400/1577404800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198341171690#!/compare/1577232000/1577318400

Untrace, only 2 ref match.

Sale 13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056611335#!/compare/1574985600/1575158400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198295080026#!/compare/1575072000/1575158400

Untrace.

Sale 14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198295080026#!/compare/1575158400/1575244800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037263729#!/compare/1574899200/1575244800

Bulk for a bunch of earbuds.

Sale 15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198000252503#!/compare/1566086400/1572652800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061779536#!/compare/1572566400/1572739200

Untrace.

Sale 16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046921199#!/compare/1572134400/1572220800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198821294885#!/compare/1572134400/1572220800

Sold for 9 keys.

Sale 17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198821294885#!/compare/1572134400/1572307200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198018101085#!/compare/1572134400/1572307200

Untrace.

Sale 18

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106824379#!/compare/1574035200/1576540800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198335791307#!/compare/1576022400/1576195200

Sold for 8 keys to a bot, likely to buy order.

Sale 19

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198290637542#!/compare/1570924800/1572134400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198323565601#!/compare/1571702400/1571875200

Sold for 8 keys, 1 reclaimed to a bot, likely to buy order. Rounding to 8 keys.

Sale 20

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089253101#!/compare/1572134400/1572220800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198214386096#!/compare/1571961600/1572307200

Untrace. 5 keys 11 ref (5.19 keys) match on the buyer's side though, but unsure hence excluding.

Sale 21

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198355143414#!/compare/1570924800/1571356800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035780190#!/compare/1570838400/1571270400

Untrace.

Sale 22

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035780190#!/compare/1573344000/1573689600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195734346#!/compare/1573257600/1573516800

Sold for 9 keys.

Sale 23

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198275735463#!/compare/1574035200/1574726400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198219288407#!/compare/1574640000/1574726400

Sold for 9 keys.

Sale 24

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198111860392#!/compare/1576627200/1576972800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198200892630#!/compare/1575331200/1577232000

???

Sale 25

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089253101#!/compare/1576195200/1576281600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127938353#!/compare/1576195200/1576281600

Sold for 8 keys.

Sale 26

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041186431#!/compare/1574035200/1574121600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198219288407#!/compare/1573948800/1574121600

Untrace.

Sale 27

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021042464#!/compare/1572566400/1572998400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198018101085#!/compare/1572566400/1572739200

Untrace.

Sale 28

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198018101085#!/compare/1572739200/1572912000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198851394963#!/compare/1572652800/1572912000

Sold for Ghastly Grove Convict Cap. (Use there?)

Sale 29

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198160073082#!/compare/1573430400/1575849600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168584119#!/compare/1553644800/1574121600

Untrace. (SCM?)

Sale 30

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168584119#!/compare/1574985600/1575158400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029751126#!/compare/1482105600/1575158400

Untrace.

Sale 31

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029751126#!/compare/1576022400/1576108800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044875028#!/compare/1575244800/1576108800

Untrace.

Sale 32

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044875028#!/compare/1576108800/1576195200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198443937092#!/compare/1576022400/1576368000

Untrace.

Sale 33

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198443937092#!/compare/1577750400/1577836800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198986498652#!/compare/1577664000/1577836800

Untrace. (Only 6 ref match)

Sales are at:

7.5

8

8

8

8.5

8.5

9

9

9

9

9.5

10

11

https://imgur.com/a/2PfpTh9 - 6 days unsold at 8 keys, 17 days + 4 days unsold at 9 keys, 25 days unsold at 10 keys. Excluding 10 and higher.

Buyers up to 6.27 keys.

I'll include 9 despite unsolds due to 4 sales at that price.

Going with the range of 7.5 - 9 keys!