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only 1 sale
vivid bomber + 2 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198862571271#!/compare/1578528000/1578614400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198297852347#!/compare/1578528000/1578614400
taking 46 + 2 = 48 keys
bomber mini - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5e056200c32a8065a2626a60
I don't have premium so some extra work will be needed to confirm these sales, sorry :(
The item in question: https://backpack.tf/item/8395948501
First sale I found on 15/1/2019, snowblinded winter wrap up for head hedge.
Seller (which shows three unusuals on that day, but other link shows 1 unusual given):
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198297852347#!/compare/1579046400/1579132800
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052736868#!/compare/1579046400/1579132800
Second sale on 21/1/2019 for an amount higher than yours listed, although i'm not sure on any b/o. A head hedge + cloudy moon connoisseur's cap was sold for a stormy 13th hour connoisseurs cap.
Current seller on a cloudy moon cap @ 90, with the current one for sale not seeming to be the one used above: https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Connoisseur's%20Cap/Tradable/Craftable/38
Seller link (although through info gathered pure/items are unknown if they were used in a trade): https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052736868#!/compare/1579478400/1579564800
Buyer (which seems to show pure may have been included):
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140565712#!/compare/1579392000/1579564800
Im not sure what prices to take, as another unpriced hat was used and the cloudy moon cap is outdated, but my assumption is over 48 keys.
The second sale would be considered bulk given its less then 50% of the trade (in value).
The first sale you listed is kinda weird given how that wrap up's only other valid sale is 125 keys, but given how the one sale that is bulk would suggest that being high. So for now taking 48 and excluding the possible high sale until others is probably a good idea.