Price Suggestion
~41 keys
scorch
Unusual A Head Full of Hot Air Scorching Flames
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I thought it would be an easy sugg, but nope


https://backpack.tf/item/8205671095


Sale #1 :

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198215130228#!/compare/1571097600/1571184000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334946156#!/compare/1571011200/1571184000

Can't tell


Sale #2:

I quickbought it from hailster for 31 keys, let me know if screenshot is necessary


Sale #3:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30662;5;u14

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2019-10-20&price=79.99

Sold for 79.99$ = 44 keys capped at 41 (https://bot.tf/stats/listings/425R6KRG)


Sale #4:

30$ to buy orders on mp.tf


Sale #5:

41 keys : https://imgur.com/a/EIqvrBx


https://backpack.tf/item/6708415859


Sale #6:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097747485#!/compare/1577232000/1577318400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160#!/compare/1577232000/1577318400

Can't tell


Sale #7:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198260126432#!/compare/1575936000/1576281600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097747485#!/compare/1576108800/1576281600

Sold for a Frostbite Timeless Topper (43, 5 months old, recent sale 100$ capped at 50 keys on mptf : https://bot.tf/stats/listings/YDLXEORR, https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30035;5;u87)

Taking 50


Sale #8:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198033694310#!/compare/1575763200/1575849600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198260126432#!/compare/1575763200/1575936000

Sold for a Haunted Ghosts Samur-Eye and 0.5 keys in sweets = 31 keys


Sale #9:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059768371#!/compare/1574553600/1574812800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198033694310#!/compare/1574726400/1574812800

Sold with 2 keys in sweets for a Cloud 9 Vintage Merryweather (23, outdated, 1 month seller at 19, mp.tf sale at 30$ = 17 keys) and a Orbiting Planets Killer Exclusive (22.5, outdated but buyers support it)

Going for 17 + 23 - 2 = 38


Sale #10:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107793922#!/compare/1573862400/1574294400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059768371#!/compare/1573689600/1574294400

Sold for a Purple Energy Big Elfin Deal (25) and a Smoking Dayjogger (23.5 outdated, new seller at 18, 44$=24 keys on mp.tf https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30779;5;u35) + 2 keys

51 keys


Final sales : (30$), 31, 31, 38, 41, 41, 50, 51


I don't really know what else to exclude. Two sales at 31 may be a bit low, two sales at 50ish may be a bit high.

I decided not to exclude 50 and 51 because the seller at 40 keys is still fairly recent. So taking the full range of 31-51.

Funny enough the mid value is still 41.


    38-41 sounds better, and also where is the 43 keys sale? Is that a typo?

      Indeed it was a typo, thanks for noticing. So you would exclude the upper and lower sales to narrow down the range ?

        I think the current seller at 40 keys is aged enough to exclude 50 and 51, I think excluding those higher sales would be a good idea.


        Since one of your 31 sales states it's a quickbuy (your own sale), I think 31 can be excluded too, evening out the sales being excluding from the low and high ends.

          Thanks for your input, i forgot the 2 keys in sweets for the 40, which becomes 38. Should I resuggest at 38-41 then ?

          31-41 range isn't that bad. The 50 and 51 sale is too high, given there's seller for 40 for almost 3 weeks, and the 2× 31 keys sale is recent. Resuggesting at 31-41 range wouldn't be a problem.