Taking last 2 months

//

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31058;5;u126

Nov 25 - $52.00 = 30 keys

Nov 25 - $50.00 = 29 keys

Dec 7 - $35.84 = 21 keys

Dec 11 - $60.00 = 36 keys

Dec 12 - $55.00 = 33 keys

Dec 23 - $39.10 = 23 keys

Dec 27 - $35.56 = 20 keys

Dec 29 - $42.99 = 24 keys

Dec 31 - $42.99 = 24 keys

Jan 1 - $54.99 = 31 keys

Jan 5 - $38.00 = 21 keys

Jan 5 - $50.00 = 28 keys

Jan 16 - $33.11 = 19 keys

Jan 19 - $45.00 = 25 keys

$33 is buy orders

https://backpack.tf/item/8158360876

https://backpack.tf/item/8185691605

https://backpack.tf/item/8277970704

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198185727073#!/compare/1577318400/1578441600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198823820018#!/compare/1577318400/1578873600

Untraceable

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129223570#!/compare/1578700800/1578960000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198210700703#!/compare/1578873600/1579392000

Use on Shotgun

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197970262340#!/compare/1574640000/1575590400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086255765#!/compare/1574553600/1574726400

Untraceable

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074655901#!/compare/1575676800/1575763200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197970262340#!/compare/1575590400/1575763200

21 or 23 keys

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154437495#!/compare/1575936000/1576540800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074655901#!/compare/1576281600/1576454400

25 keys

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070143764#!/compare/1574467200/1574553600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123146104#!/compare/1574467200/1574553600

34 keys

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123146104#!/compare/1577577600/1578441600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198335791307#!/compare/1578441600/1578528000

Bulk

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198001812215#!/compare/1577577600/1577750400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197963038974#!/compare/1577577600/1577750400

Bulk

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197963038974#!/compare/1578096000/1578182400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138677798#!/compare/1575590400/1579392000

Untraceable

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198008388703#!/compare/1572048000/1574812800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198251214662#!/compare/1574294400/1574812800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198251214662#!/compare/1574812800/1574899200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188708730#!/compare/1578960000/1579046400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198033378852#!/compare/1579046400/1579132800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122107265#!/compare/1579046400/1579132800

lot of idk whats going on happened https://backpack.tf/item/8197199406

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122107265#!/compare/1579305600/1579392000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138017694#!/compare/1579305600/1579392000

Untraceable

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133991629#!/compare/1579478400/1579651200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138017694#!/compare/1579478400/1579651200

Will end up within range

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027884098#!/compare/1575590400/1575676800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198283288464#!/compare/1575590400/1575676800

Untraceable

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198281884520#!/compare/1574812800/1575158400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106869848#!/compare/1575072000/1575158400

PE Company Man, high here low there

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198303886984#!/compare/1575590400/1575849600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198281884520#!/compare/1575504000/1575676800

Abyssal Aura Bat Hat, use there

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059021831#!/compare/1577491200/1577577600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198295486957#!/compare/1577491200/1577577600

Untraceable

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059021831#!/compare/1577577600/1577664000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054096076#!/compare/1577404800/1578614400

A marketplace sale

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054096076#!/compare/1579564800/1579651200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198341171690#!/compare/1579478400/1579564800

Untraceable, went to a bot though

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198335791307#!/compare/1575072000/1575158400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165642787#!/compare/1575158400/1575417600

Pro KS Aus Force a Nature = 13 keys

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053287332#!/compare/1575676800/1575849600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198283288464#!/compare/1575676800/1575763200

Untraceable

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198380840857#!/compare/1576886400/1576972800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027129296#!/compare/1576886400/1576972800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027129296#!/compare/1576972800/1577145600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053720151#!/compare/1576886400/1576972800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053720151#!/compare/1576972800/1577059200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198166102098#!/compare/1576972800/1577059200

Untraceable until the last compare link, which is 21 keys

It was moved several times this day https://backpack.tf/item/8325711782

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198859721638#!/compare/1573948800/1574035200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038666068#!/compare/1572825600/1574035200

Bulk, using on this

//

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038666068#!/compare/1575417600/1576022400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964546925#!/compare/1576022400/1576108800

Untraceable, likely a Marketplace sale

///

Sales:

13

19

20

21

21

21

21-23

23

24

24

25

25

28

29

30

31

33

34

36

Sellers:

https://gyazo.com/203bd7b3974d51033b7af61be784e87b

25 keys x2 - one bot

26 keys

30 keys

40 keys

https://gyazo.com/23d5adbf4920fe8b2e7d1a3abc807a15

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31058;5;u126

$49.99 to $54.99, approximately 28-31 keys

Buyers:

https://gyazo.com/203bd7b3974d51033b7af61be784e87b

Several around 15-16

https://gyazo.com/4fe187e78866531ed729561d829c4b93

Three Marketplace buyers at ~$33 = ~19 keys

///

Unsolds at 25 are quite young at the moment, both one day old

Unsure how long the 26 has been unsold https://backpack.tf/item/8196946223

It hurts to exclude these sales, but with a short analysis it might (?) make sense

28 - Marketplace, January 5 but current sellers are at less on classifieds

29 - From November, and Market has clearly shifted since then

30 - From November, and Market has clearly shifted since then

31 - Marketplace, many sales have occurred under this price - January 1, although is recent, is currently higher than the current MP seller

33 - Marketplace, many sales have occurred under this price

34 - Pure key sale, which is countered by, well, almost everything else

36 - Marketplace, many sales have occurred under this price

//

Let's go with a nice clean range of 20-25 keys, but I am open to resuggesting.