Excluding 19, 18.7, & all 15 Key sales as outliers, and excluding everything below the 16.85 Key sales as sellers are currently not that low. Keeping everything up to 18.5 as a buffer range.
Going with 16.85-18.5 Keys.
18.5 is going to be too high here given there is a whole page of sellers in the classies for less and over a page of sellers on scm below 18.5 as well
Classifieds: https://imgur.com/a/S7n4vjf
Bot.tf Stats
https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=737&q=11&ef=&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0
https://imgur.com/a/LgdEHAx
6 Sold
Past 7 Days:
1x 16 keys
1x 15 keys, 35.00 ref (15.62~, Rounding to 15.6 Keys)
1x 16 keys, 23.11 ref (16.41~, Rounding to 16.4 Keys)
Past 30 Days:
1x 16 keys, 38.00 ref (16.67~, Rounding to 16.6 Keys)
1x 16 keys, 36.66 ref (16.65~ Keys)
1x 16 keys, 28.22 ref (16.5~ Keys)
3 Bought
Past 30 Days:
1x 15 keys, 10.55 ref (15.19~, Rounding to 15.2 Keys)
1x 15 keys, 30.00 ref (15.53~, Rounding to 15.5 Keys)
1x 15 keys, 26.22 ref (15.46~, Rounding to 15.45 Keys)
Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/item/6539363875
Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125985288#!/compare/1573948800/1575417600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198454615761#!/compare/1575331200/1575504000
Sale 2:
https://backpack.tf/item/5419301696
Sold for 16 Keys & 35 Ref (16.62~ Keys)
Taking 16.6 Keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115952983#!/compare/1577404800/1577491200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198869144080#!/compare/1577318400/1578096000
Marketplace Sales
Sale 3:
Sold on Jan 23rd for $26.72, Keys were $1.78
15 Keys
Sale 4:
Sold on Jan 22rd for 2x $32.33, Keys were $1.78
18.16, Rounding down to 18.15 Keys
Sale 5:
Sold on Jan 21st for 3x $30, Keys were $1.78
16.85 Keys
Sale 6:
Sold on Jan 20th for 2x $32.99, Keys were $1.78
18.53, Rounding down to 18.5 Keys
Sale 7:
Sold on Jan 19th for 3x $32.33, Keys were $1.77
18.26, Rounding down to 18.25 Keys
Sale 8:
Sold on Jan 18th for $33.32, Keys were $1.78
18.71, Rounding down to 18.7 Keys
Sale 9:
Sold on Jan 17th for 3x $33.66, Keys were $1.77
19 Keys
Sale 10:
Sold on Jan 15th for 2x $27.18, Keys were $1.78
15.26, Rounding down to 15.25 Keys
Sale 11:
Sold on Jan 14th for $33.66, Keys were $1.77
19 Keys
Sale 12:
Sold on Jan 13th for $33.66, Keys were $1.77
19 Keys
Sale 13:
Sold on Jan 12th for 4x $32.65, Keys were $1.78
18.34 Keys, Rounding down to 18.3 Keys
Recap:
5x 19
1x 18.7
2x 18.5
4x 18.3
3x 18.25
2x 18.15
3x 16.85
1x 16.65
2x 16.6
1x 16.5
1x 16.4
1x 16
1x 15.6
1x 15.45
1x 15.5
2x 15.25
1x 15.2
1x 15
Excluding 19, 18.7, & all 15 Key sales as outliers, and excluding everything below the 16.85 Key sales as sellers are currently not that low. Keeping everything up to 18.5 as a buffer range.
Going with 16.85-18.5 Keys.
18.5 is going to be too high here given there is a whole page of sellers in the classies for less and over a page of sellers on scm below 18.5 as well