Excluding 19 & all 15 Key sales as outliers, and excluding everything below the 16.85 Key sales as sellers are currently not that low. Also excluding everything above 18.15 due to them being higher than most current sellers. However, keeping 18.15 as a buffer due to there being no lower sales anywhere between 17 and 18.
Going with 16.85-18.15 Keys.
18.15 keys is still going to be high here given sellers in classies and scm having a page of sellers for less than that price. also i don't see why unsuccessful sellers would suggest that lower sales are invalid? if anything those sellers suggest the higher sales are high.
since those marketplace sales are clearly high in comparison to both scm and classified sellers, I would just disregard them altogether and just focus on item sales
Alright, gotcha. I’ll try to find some more direct item sales in that case.
Second time's the charm.
Classifieds: https://imgur.com/a/S7n4vjf
Bot.tf Stats
https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=737&q=11&ef=&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0
https://imgur.com/a/LgdEHAx
6 Sold
Past 7 Days:
1x 16 keys
1x 15 keys, 35.00 ref (15.62~, Rounding to 15.6 Keys)
1x 16 keys, 23.11 ref (16.41~, Rounding to 16.4 Keys)
Past 30 Days:
1x 16 keys, 38.00 ref (16.67~, Rounding to 16.6 Keys)
1x 16 keys, 36.66 ref (16.65~ Keys)
1x 16 keys, 28.22 ref (16.5~ Keys)
3 Bought
Past 30 Days:
1x 15 keys, 10.55 ref (15.19~, Rounding to 15.2 Keys)
1x 15 keys, 30.00 ref (15.53~, Rounding to 15.5 Keys)
1x 15 keys, 26.22 ref (15.46~, Rounding to 15.45 Keys)
Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/item/6539363875
Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125985288#!/compare/1573948800/1575417600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198454615761#!/compare/1575331200/1575504000
Sale 2:
https://backpack.tf/item/5419301696
Sold for 16 Keys & 35 Ref (16.62~ Keys)
Taking 16.6 Keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115952983#!/compare/1577404800/1577491200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198869144080#!/compare/1577318400/1578096000
Marketplace Sales
Sale 3:
Sold on Jan 23rd for $26.72, Keys were $1.78
15 Keys
Sale 4:
Sold on Jan 22rd for 2x $32.33, Keys were $1.78
18.16, Rounding down to 18.15 Keys
Sale 5:
Sold on Jan 21st for 3x $30, Keys were $1.78
16.85 Keys
Sale 6:
Sold on Jan 20th for 2x $32.99, Keys were $1.78
18.53, Rounding down to 18.5 Keys
Sale 7:
Sold on Jan 19th for 3x $32.33, Keys were $1.77
18.26, Rounding down to 18.25 Keys
Sale 8:
Sold on Jan 18th for $33.32, Keys were $1.78
18.71, Rounding down to 18.7 Keys
Sale 9:
Sold on Jan 17th for 3x $33.66, Keys were $1.77
19 Keys
Sale 10:
Sold on Jan 15th for 2x $27.18, Keys were $1.78
15.26, Rounding down to 15.25 Keys
Sale 11:
Sold on Jan 14th for $33.66, Keys were $1.77
19 Keys
Sale 12:
Sold on Jan 13th for $33.66, Keys were $1.77
19 Keys
Sale 13:
Sold on Jan 12th for 4x $32.65, Keys were $1.78
18.34 Keys, Rounding down to 18.3 Keys
Recap:
5x 19
1x 18.7
2x 18.5
4x 18.3
3x 18.25
2x 18.15
3x 16.85
1x 16.65
2x 16.6
1x 16.5
1x 16.4
1x 16
1x 15.6
1x 15.45
1x 15.5
2x 15.25
1x 15.2
1x 15
Excluding 19 & all 15 Key sales as outliers, and excluding everything below the 16.85 Key sales as sellers are currently not that low. Also excluding everything above 18.15 due to them being higher than most current sellers. However, keeping 18.15 as a buffer due to there being no lower sales anywhere between 17 and 18.
Going with 16.85-18.15 Keys.
18.15 keys is still going to be high here given sellers in classies and scm having a page of sellers for less than that price. also i don't see why unsuccessful sellers would suggest that lower sales are invalid? if anything those sellers suggest the higher sales are high.
since those marketplace sales are clearly high in comparison to both scm and classified sellers, I would just disregard them altogether and just focus on item sales
Alright, gotcha. I’ll try to find some more direct item sales in that case.