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https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30840;5;u3032
Sold for 17 USD. Below buyer at 10 keys, was probably a mp buyorder since current ones are 16 USD.
Sold for 15 keys, but both compares are broken: https://imgur.com/sbWsJM4 https://imgur.com/D1FyhKY
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198111475184#!/compare/1578528000/1578614400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074479778#!/compare/1578182400/1578614400
I don't have premium so these are the only sales I'm aware off.
https://backpack.tf/item/5374442724 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358871670#!/compare/1578182400/1578268800 unusualified
https://backpack.tf/item/7427903710 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198210745395#!/compare/1576800000/1579219200 unusualified
https://backpack.tf/item/7359707523 unusualified
https://backpack.tf/item/8039718106 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121638908#!/compare/1576800000/1577404800 unusualified
https://backpack.tf/item/6932356322 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092621591#!/compare/1577491200/1577577600 unusualified
https://backpack.tf/item/5374442724 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198151117577#!/compare/1578182400/1578614400 unusualified
https://backpack.tf/item/8399361545 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198157680604#!/compare/1577577600/1578441600 unusualified
https://backpack.tf/item/6183976713 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074080874#!/compare/1576972800/1580688000 unusualified
https://backpack.tf/item/5473706165 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198395757940#!/compare/1575936000/1576540800 unusualified
https://backpack.tf/item/5554725654 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198216357169#!/compare/1576800000/1577404800 unusualified
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068662125#!/compare/1578441600/1578614400 Sold for 12 keys.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027670039#!/compare/1578528000/1578614400
Buyorders where that high when this sold/I bought mine. Idk how to prove that with bot.tf or whatever you use for that.
https://backpack.tf/item/5363111617
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198182972629#!/compare/1578700800/1578787200 ??? might be 6 keys ???
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197991477148#!/compare/1578700800/1578787200 IDK
https://backpack.tf/item/5354816839
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198175249965#!/compare/1576800000/1576886400 wasn't unusual here
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198239949166?time=1576886400 was unusualified unusual here
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198239949166#!/compare/1579478400/1579564800 doesn't show in any compares being traded away
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198838788284#!/compare/1576886400/1576972800 shows up here for ???
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198838788284#!/compare/1576972800/1577059200 gets traded away for 22 keys ???
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087245143#!/compare/1576972800/1577059200 shows up here for ???
One sale here might be 22 keys, but that's higher than current sellers, the rest I have no clue.
To help this suggestion,
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027670039#!/compare/1578528000/1578614400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068662125#!/compare/1578441600/1578614400
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y5R8J665
January 8, buy orders were at 12-13 keys for this item, so that would exclude the 12 key sale.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087245143#!/compare/1576972800/1577059200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198838788284#!/compare/1576972800/1577059200
The 22 key sale is indeed 22 keys, because the near ID of the keys matches.
The keys don't show up in the first link because he obtained them and traded them away in the same day, and the compares could not recognize them.
But as you noted, sellers are lower than 22 keys, and the sale itself was almost two months ago.
So as it is, I believe your suggestion is fine as it is.
Your sales are:
10 - low
12 - low
15 - valid
22 - high
Nice work on the research, hope the suggestion passes.
Here are all the links that have moved in the last 3 months that must be looked into for the suggestion:
https://backpack.tf/item/5473706165
https://backpack.tf/item/5374442724
https://backpack.tf/item/5364150552
https://backpack.tf/item/5363111617
https://backpack.tf/item/5354816839
https://backpack.tf/item/8374179153
https://backpack.tf/item/8039718106
https://backpack.tf/item/7427903710
https://backpack.tf/item/7359707523
https://backpack.tf/item/6932356322
https://backpack.tf/item/6183976713
https://backpack.tf/item/6128974321
https://backpack.tf/item/5554725654
You may ask the backpack.tf discord to retrieve links from premium for suggestion purposes.
last 3 months don't make much sense for an effect that came out 1.5 months ago. Only half of those seem to have any sales since then that isn't before being unusualified. I will look at those later.
Still have to look into them, we wouldn't know if they're crafted or not unless you show us
https://imgur.com/a/ktHSgqS
2 scm sellers now for 25 and 30 USD. With scm key price those would be just over 10 keys and around 12.5 keys.
Both have been there just a few days, still might be better to include the 12 key sale in the range?
There has been 2 sales on marketplace for 29.99 USD + one buyorder sale since I made this.
Those sales would be ~17 keys.
This probably needs a range, but I'm not sure what it should be.
From a quick scan on the above Id say 12-17 should work