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Interesting
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Sale #1 55 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198815135129#!/compare/1575936000/1576108800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198928314206#!/compare/1576022400/1576108800
Sale #2 - SCM
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198928314206#!/compare/1576022400/1576108800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129653872#!/compare/1562457600/1579219200
Hard to trace due to 3 scm sales happening within the times between the inventory's caches
Sale #3 - https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30998;5;u120 - https://backpack.tf/item/8260175528
$150 / $1.78 = 84.27 keys
Sale #4 - https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30998;5;u120 - https://backpack.tf/item/8260175528 - My b/o was 200
$399.99 / $1.78 = 224.71 keys
Sale #5 - Untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197970775310#!/compare/1580860800/1580947200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057452720#!/compare/1580860800/1581033600
Sale #6 - Bulk
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198102861548#!/compare/1577404800/1577491200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964782863#!/compare/1577404800/1577491200
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Sale #7 - Stormy Rack + Refrag Elf + Defrag Spiky Viking
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198102861548#!/compare/1578614400/1578700800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052246700#!/compare/1578614400/1578700800
Taking 77.5 + 6 + 10 = 93.5
Elf Micro (full but dont feel comfortable making a real suggestion given the value) -
Sale #1 - https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30836;5;u142
$10.99 / $1.79 = 6.14 keys
Sale #2 - Bulk
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062779400#!/compare/1577232000/1577318400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052246700#!/compare/1577232000/1577318400
Sale #3 - Using There
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052246700#!/compare/1578614400/1578700800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198102861548#!/compare/1578614400/1578700800
Sale #4 - Untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964171516#!/compare/1579046400/1579132800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198102861548#!/compare/1578787200/1579132800
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Taking 6 keys flat
Spiky Mini - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5e3dac389d2b0975a516187f
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Sale #8 - Untrace? Nothing really connects?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198975565852#!/compare/1579132800/1579219200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052246700#!/compare/1579132800/1579219200
Sale #9 - Scammed
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198353550482#!/compare/1579219200/1579305600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198975565852#!/compare/1579219200/1579305600
Sale #10 - 1 for 1 with scorching rotation (Not using due to the user having a past report (now closed due to not following up) due to scamming the cat hat)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198421652838#!/compare/1579046400/1579996800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198353550482#!/compare/1579564800/1580256000
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Taking 200 keys flat
Excluding everything below 106 due to buyers
https://gyazo.com/f1581706c52b9df88e2fd8fdd78acbb3
https://gyazo.com/ae6f2d9a83ff8c3b188fc19983c4599d
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057452720#!/compare/1581206400/1581292800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165585317#!/compare/1581206400/1581292800 - Sold with a Death at Dusk Noble Amassment of Hats (63 when resuggested) + 46 Keys for a Duped Cauldron Bubbles Crone + Ghastly Grove El Zapateador + A Searing Plasma Fat Man's Field Cap
It's definitely worth checking out this sale; it would be helpful to have more data points here since the way it is here, pretty much every sale is an outlier even though the sale used is the odd one out in terms of value.
If that turns up empty I would leave this unpriced until more sales occur.
We both already know that nothing will be traceable/usable for the gibus to give it a value, and you would rather leave it unpriced then price it at a valid sale? Just because the other sales are below buyers and 1 is not being used (closer to 200 then the other sales) due to the reason. Seems kinda dumb
Why is it kind of dumb not to price something when there are 4 sales where 3 have indications of being too low and the last one being the statistical outlier?
So your saying that sales under buyers should be still considered and the one sale that is not below such buyers is a clear outlier? Its the only usable sale in such a circumstance. Currently it just sounds like you are fighting for it to be priced lower then the valid sale suggests it being worth.
If the rotation was not excluded due to its situation it would more or less support the price closer to 200 then 95 and 84
So, should we pretend the sales did not happen? I don't see the issue with waiting for a more stable market when the sales are this discrepant, especially since - for whatever reason - multiple people sold below what buyers were at for a while. The influx of buyers may have been temporary (all gone now), so it is not that weird to question whether or not pricing this right now is the best way to go.
"Currently it just sounds like you are fighting for it to be priced lower then the valid sale suggests it being worth."
Why you state this is beyond me - I explicitly stated it is best to leave this unpriced based on the sales presented in this suggestion. I'm not lobbying for a lower price.
Do note that the unused rotation sale does not support 200 at all, that's significantly lower.
If the rotation was not excluded due to its situation it would more or less support the price CLOSER to 200 then 95 and 84.
Also going by the sales now 55 is outdated now,
93 was 100% valued more during the trade due to the new effect hype so that would probably explain why the guys sale now is under buyers.
84 is my buyorder on mp
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Also looking into the crones, a few sales I found
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198173170293#!/compare/1578528000/1578614400
Secret Front Runner + Unusual Medi + SBTWC Bolted Birdcage + Sulph Goggles + 24 keys + 2 keys in sweets
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198173456251#!/compare/1577059200/1578355200
1 for 1 with a strange snow blinded tundra
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197991783701#!/compare/1581984000/1582070400
Electro Static VVF
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057452720#!/compare/1583107200/1583193600
Sold with PE modest + DP VVF for a scorching crones + 23 keys
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Technically it could be possible to micro/mini the stuff but at this moment not sure if it would be worth it
Why would it not be worth it?
Not worth my time if the suggestions gonna just get closed anyway. Sure the vvf would be decently easy but the rest of the items would easily take a days worth of time each, especially the scorching crones.
"Not worth my time"
If that is the case, then so be it.