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I had to make a lot of researches to do this, please let me know if there is anything wrong or missing infos.
Only tracable sales i could find :
1- sold for 725$
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30066;5;u14
keys were 1.78$ , 725 / 1.78 = 407
2- sold for : Sunbeams Professional's Panama (38.5), Cloud 9 Horrific Headsplitter (17), Scorching Flames Crocleather Slouch (65) , Scorching Flames Batter's Helmet (80) , Scorching Flames Shooter's Sola Topi (38) , Scorching Flames Big Country (75) , Scorching Flames Ol' Snaggletooth (50)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199013961455#!/compare/1580688000/1580774400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046921199#!/compare/1580601600/1580774400
38.5 + 17 + 65 + 80 + 38 + 75 + 50 = 363 Flat
- Minis :
- Sunbeams Professional's Panama (38.5) https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5e320bfb0d912c36ae5c1508
- Scorching Flames Crocleather Slouch (65) sold for 90-100 but in bulk trades, can't find anything else , taking buy order.
- Scorching Flames Batter's Helmet (80) https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105087064#!/compare/1580860800/1581033600 , https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198350910856#!/compare/1578614400/1578700800 (still sold for more but taking the current buyout)
- Scorching Flames Shooter's Sola Topi (38) https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046921199#!/compare/1580860800/1580947200 (27 + 11) , https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164735287#!/compare/1583798400/1583971200 , https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/383;5;u31
- Scorching Flames Big Country (75) https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5e64d0a5af005d5269637b8d
- Scorching Flames Ol' Snaggletooth (50) https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/229;5;u14 : 90 / 1.78 = 50
Seller at 550$
Some of those Minis will need to be fixed in Sale 2. The Big Country is 65 Keys and 50 for the Snaggle is high with a clean seller at 41 Keys.
https://imgur.com/a/R2Xnc7B - Buyout of 360 Keys for Sale 2 if it still somehow ends up over 360
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198996086894#!/compare/1581465600/1581552000 - ?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140316312#!/compare/1578009600/1578182400 - ?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140316312#!/compare/1579219200/1579305600 - I think bulk for a Golden Pan
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198330649667#!/compare/1579651200/1579737600 - May have been a broker scenario with that Golden Pan
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046921199#!/compare/1579478400/1579737600 - Bulk for a Green Energy Lucky Cat Hat
https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Brotherhood%20of%20Arms - Pretty sure it sold for $661.26 when Keys were $2.26
https://backpack.tf/item/7150508065 - Date matches, and the only other sales it could have been are all <$100
661.26 / 2.26 = 292.6, which rounds to 293 Keys
Not using this sale unless it can be proven that it indeed was the $661.26 sale
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30066;5;u14 - Sold again for $525 when Keys were $1.77 each
https://backpack.tf/item/6525087980 - Looks like the person who paid $725 sold it for $525
525 / 1.77 = 296.6, which rounds to 297 Keys
https://imgur.com/a/6NsWXOT + https://backpack.tf/item/6301159400 - Seller at 349 Keys
I wouldn't use 407 or 297 because of the disparity from buy to sell, but 297 supports 293 if that was actually the sale.
I would get confirmation of that SCM sale before fixing this, but this suggestion is undoubtedly high.
The guy probably quicksold it for 297 since he bought it for 407. he was always changing his price, it was listed at 297 for a bit
If it was listed at $550 when Torb made his comment a month prior to it selling for $525, then 297 isn't a quicksell.
Can't seem to get the SCM buyer to respond, so fix the Minis for Sale 2 and make a new suggestion using just that.
Closing due to lack of response. When you fix the Minis in Sale 2, go ahead and resuggest.