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Mini.
Sale 1: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198939623625#!/compare/1581292800/1581379200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311437371#!/compare/1581292800/1581379200
Sold with a ~key in adds for a Blizzardy Storm Gentleman's Gatsby (14 keys)
14 - 1 = 13
Mini for the Gatsby: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5e76016c92171e5a1e1e2d69
Sale 2: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055622215#!/compare/1580774400/1580860800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198338424715#!/compare/1580774400/1580860800
Sold for Infernal Flames Taunt: Skullcracker + Spelled item.
Sale 3: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198338424715#!/compare/1580860800/1580947200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087806226#!/compare/1580774400/1580860800
?
Sale 4: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087806226#!/compare/1581206400/1581292800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059874094#!/compare/1581206400/1581292800
Sold for a Purple Confetti Executioner (15 keys)
Sale 5: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059874094#!/compare/1581292800/1581379200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136810646#!/compare/1581206400/1581292800
I counted 14 pure.
Sale 6: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136810646#!/compare/1581206400/1581292800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198251982584#!/compare/1581033600/1581292800
?
Sale 7: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198251982584#!/compare/1581033600/1581292800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198862763731#!/compare/1581206400/1581292800
?
Sale 8: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311437371#!/compare/1582416000/1582502400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198171538677#!/compare/1582416000/1582502400
Bulk.
Sale 9: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198339679572#!/compare/1579651200/1579996800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198190714350#!/compare/1579910400/1579996800
Sum qs.
Sale 10: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198190714350#!/compare/1580256000/1580342400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197993860970#!/compare/1580256000/1580342400
17 pure.
Sales: 13, 15, 14 and 17. Classies: https://i.imgur.com/lJT48Gc.png. Going with 14-17.
bought for 34
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/397;5;u12
Comes up to ~20 Keys using $1.69 value.
20 Keys shouldn't be too high here.
Looking at your 14 Key sale, it seems to have been a quicksale as it wasn't owned for more than a day, which would make sense given the buyers at 14 currenctly.
I'd go with 15-20 here. It could be argued that 15 is low due to SCM buyers, but it could also be argued that 20 is high due to unsolds, so having a range solves both those issues.