Taking last 2 months

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Marketplace

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1118;5;u3006

February 2 - $25.30 = buy order price

February 7 - $25.27 = buy order price

February 7 - $34.99 = 20 keys

February 28 - $45.00 = 26 keys

March 7 - $39.00 = 23 keys

March 23 - $25.26 = buy order price

March 24 - $33.50 = 20 keys

March 24 - $39.00 = 23 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7515403377

https://backpack.tf/item/6747100530

https://backpack.tf/item/5865478411

https://backpack.tf/item/3656146916

https://backpack.tf/item/3286055066

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Bot.tf

https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=1118&q=5&ef=Screaming+Tiger&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0

https://gyazo.com/a03a00c4a4949f1493a668ac10ecefcf

1 @ 18 keys 1/25/2020, 8:21:43 AM

1 @ 20 keys 1/25/2020, 11:45:28 PM

1 @ 18 keys, 42.00 ref 2/9/2020, 8:08:43 PM

1 @ 17 keys, 44.00 ref 3/2/2020, 4:14:43 AM

1 @ 17 keys, 45.00 ref 3/7/2020, 1:09:03 AM

1 @ 17 keys, 45.00 ref 3/10/2020, 1:53:05 PM

Rounding all of the sales including refined to one key up since all of them are around 40+

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198838447026#!/compare/1580688000/1580774400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138170333#!/compare/1580688000/1580774400

Quicksold to bot.tf bot

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198838447026#!/compare/1581206400/1581292800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026459591#!/compare/1581206400/1581292800

This is the February 9 bot.tf sale for 18 keys + 42 refined

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198340634356#!/compare/1579910400/1579996800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131422813#!/compare/1579910400/1579996800

This is the January 25 bot.tf sale for 18 or 20 keys

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https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070538255#!/compare/1581379200/1581465600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198928347702#!/compare/1581379200/1581465600

16 keys

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https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198928347702#!/compare/1583452800/1583539200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054448372#!/compare/1583452800/1583539200

Untraceable

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https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1579824000/1579910400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105155926#!/compare/1579737600/1580428800

18 keys

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https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132816593#!/compare/1580342400/1580428800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198448830963#!/compare/1580256000/1580342400

14 keys + 7 refined

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https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198448830963#!/compare/1582675200/1583107200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059701300#!/compare/1583020800/1583107200

17 keys + 44 refined, rounding to 18 keys

//

Sales:

14

16

18

18

18

18

18

18

19

20

20

20

23

23

26

Sellers:

https://gyazo.com/6cb30ff995619756293ec0ce418525a2

18.37 keys https://backpack.tf/item/7249951852

19 keys https://backpack.tf/item/3051441737

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1118;5;u3006

$277.78 / 165 keys https://backpack.tf/item/2771413292

Buyers:

https://gyazo.com/6cb30ff995619756293ec0ce418525a2

Two at 15 keys, 3 at ~12 keys

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1118;5;u3006

https://gyazo.com/787d44f73fff6dd069c7198e730e21f5

Three at ~$25 = ~15 keys

14 and 16 bit too low seeing how many sales there are at 18

Sellers are young at 18 and 19, although one of them is a relisting bot.

20 seems to happen commonly as well.

Going with 18-20 keys.