Got tired of people not wanting to buy this hat due to having an old price suggestion, so I learned how to price-suggest!

Let me know if there's anything I've done wrong or anything I should do differently in the future :)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TMZi25Pq3T8

you are now about to witness the strength of street knowledge...

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Sale 1)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198004952793#!/compare/1580601600/1581897600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122393901#!/compare/1580256000/1580774400

Sold for Haunted Ghosts Buccaneer's Bicorne + 4 keys

Haunted Ghosts Buccaneer's Bicorne worth 45 keys (https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5e3acba07aa01e0bbd29d00e)

Sale is for 49 keys.

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Sale 2)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065921725#!/compare/1584230400/1584316800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057412106#!/compare/1584230400/1584316800

Sold 2:1 for Kill-A-Watt Danger + Dead Presidents Vintage Tyrolean

Kill-A-Watt Danger = 28 keys (https://gyazo.com/b6fecf6e1a099cbc8dc64266dd84deae valued at lowest current seller b/c price suggestion is a year old)

Dead Presidents Vintage Tyrolean = 18 keys (https://gyazo.com/4045a9aa33fd17104b4b18d2f376b7f6 same story, valued at lowest current seller but latest price suggestion is 4 years old)

28 + 18 = 46

Sale is for 46 keys.

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Sale 3) QUICKSELL/OUTLIER!! Notes below

Hey, this is the sale where I got my hat! Honestly, I think this one is an outlier. At the time, buy orders on my Terror-Watt HKC were around 3 keys higher than the buy orders on his P.Fetti BOA, which is why I think Canyon wanted to do this trade. My b/o was 36 keys at the time. The trade was 1:1 + 1 key added on my part.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106206016#!/compare/1584403200/1584489600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072998203#!/compare/1584230400/1584489600

Sold for Terror-Watt Hong Kong Cone + 1 key

Terror-Watt Hong Kong Cone b/o = 36 keys

36 + 1 = 37

Sale is for 37 keys.

OUTLIER REASONING:

- This sale heavily deviates from the mean.*

- Sold for 7 keys below most recent pricecheck, and 9 & 12 keys lower than the most recent sales.

*Averaging Sales 1 and 2, the mean pure value of the P.Fetti BOA would be 47.5 keys.

Even with Sale 3 averaged in, the mean is still a healthy 44 keys. (43 keys if you were to avg. only the lowest and highest values when the lowest value = 37.) This is a 7 key discrepancy between the lowest value and the mean value, something that neither Sale 1 nor 2 share.

(NOTE!! Market Shift: After buying my HKC, Canyon got very impatient and started lowering the price like crazy in order to quicksell it. I'm pretty sure he ended up selling it for very cheap. (The lowest I saw him advertise it on Vatican was 29 keys D:) That's why the current sell orders are so low.

Here's a mini of the Terror-Watt Hong Kong Cone's actual value, told via the trade in which I bought it:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090147535#!/compare/1584057600/1584144000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072998203#!/compare/1584057600/1584144000

Sold for Circling Peace Sign Toy Soldier + Kill-a-Watt Neckwear Headwear + 2 keys + a 1.5 key sweet

Circling Peace Sign Toy Soldier b/o: 14 keys

Kill-a-Watt Neckwear Headwear b/o: 18 keys

14 + 18 + 2 + 1.5 = 35.5

Mini!! Terror-Watt Hong Kong Cone worth 35.5 keys)

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All Sales:

- 49 keys

- 46 keys

- 37 keys (outlier)

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The rest of sales on this hat/effect are over 3 months old. Let me know what you think of this price suggestion! :)

fuck. i forgot a sale. closing and reopening a new suggestion