Sale 1:

Sold for Pro. KS Aus Grenade Launcher (~20) + Max’s Head (~19 at the time, according to failed suggestions)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198207603105#!/compare/1581206400/1581292800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198273587592#!/compare/1581120000/1581292800

https://backpack.tf/item/8444377817

39 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 30 keys + 10 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026129220#!/compare/1581033600/1581120000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198207603105#!/compare/1581033600/1581120000

https://backpack.tf/item/8444377817

30 keys

Sale 3:

Sold to a bot for 22 keys + some metal

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055518897#!/compare/1579219200/1586131200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198454615761#!/compare/1586044800/1586131200

https://backpack.tf/item/7956986371

https://i.imgur.com/acZK07k.png - bot.tf confirms

22 keys

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/383;5;u58

$58, Jan 16th

$28.55, Jan 22nd

$65, Jan 28th

$65, Feb 10th

$28.25, Feb 16th

$64.99, Feb 20th

$56, March 9th

https://backpack.tf/item/7955998735 - Jan 28th

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-01-28&price=65 - $65 / $1.78 = 36.52 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MNLNPJZ5 - no important B/Os at the time

https://backpack.tf/item/7956482213 - Feb 10th

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-02-10&price=65 - $65 / $1.78 = 36.52 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MGZQJ21Q - No important B/Os at the time

https://backpack.tf/item/7956590865 - March 9th

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-03-09&price=56 - $56 / $1.71 = 32.75 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/YD1ZDW3X - No important B/Os at the time

Can’t find histories for the other marketplace sales.

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-01-16&price=58 - $58 / $1.78 = 32.58 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4PPZ2KK6 - No important B/Os

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-01-22&price=28.55 - $28.55 / $1.78 = 16.04 keys

Buy order

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-02-16&price=28.25 - $28.25 / $1.77 = 15.96 keys

Buy order

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-02-20&price=64.99 - $64.99 / $1.75 = 37.14 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MGZ6G1RW - Seller at 30, doesn’t appear to be tied to the marketplace sale

https://backpack.tf/item/7957151641

We have marketplace sales at:

37 keys (3x)

33 keys (2x)

16 keys (2x)

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/7957151641 (#1)

https://backpack.tf/item/7955998735 (#2)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956590865 - gambled

https://backpack.tf/item/7957174367 - gambled

https://backpack.tf/item/7956482213 - gambled, marketplace sale included above

#1

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198382755650#!/compare/1582588800/1582675200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316071886#!/compare/1582329600/1582588800

#2

Oops, all panic attacks

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198149688091#!/compare/1582156800/1582243200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198335791307#!/compare/1582156800/1582243200

https://i.imgur.com/acZK07k.png - labelled as 25 keys

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/5qSvoRD.png

https://backpack.tf/item/7956590865 - 50 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7956986371 - 50 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/8444377817 - 55 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7955998735 - 60 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7957151641 - 60 keys

Sales at:

16 (2x)

22

30

33 (2x)

37 (3x)

39

16 and 22 are outliers, excluding.

Taking 30-39.