Price Suggestion
Aces High Hong Kong Cone
Submitted by ★ Jarool
91.92%
35–40 keys
21–30 keys
2
~56 keys
aces
Unusual Hong Kong Cone Aces High
91 votes up
8 votes down
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Comments

Sale 1:

Sold for Miami Texas Ten Gallon (Mini at 34 below) + 1 key


Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198262570352#!/compare/1579046400/1579132800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198878541173#!/compare/1576281600/1579132800

https://backpack.tf/item/7957199041


35 keys


Sale 2:

Sold for Green Energy Shooter’s Sola Topi (18.5) + Holy Grail Soldier’s Requiem (Mini at ~3.65 below) + 1 key in items


Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198394457682#!/compare/1578873600/1578960000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075597508#!/compare/1578873600/1578960000

No B/O available

This sale is 3 months old, and as suggestions on unusual taunts usually use the last 1 or 2 months, I figured it’d be better to get a mini from around the time this sale happened.


23 keys


Sale 3:

Sold to a quickbuyer for 21 keys


Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097499917#!/compare/1583971200/1584057600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1583971200/1584057600

https://backpack.tf/item/7957554892


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261265788#!/compare/1583971200/1584057600 - 3 keys went here

https://backpack.tf/item/8001261674

https://backpack.tf/item/6568883197

https://backpack.tf/item/8152037109


21 keys


Sale 4:

Sold for 20 keys


Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198103017176#!/compare/1578960000/1579046400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049234870#!/compare/1578960000/1579046400

https://backpack.tf/item/7957199041


20 keys


Sale 5:

Sold for 20 keys


Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049234870#!/compare/1579046400/1579132800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198262570352#!/compare/1579046400/1579132800

https://backpack.tf/item/7957199041


20 keys


Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30177;5;u59

$41.99, March 1st

$32.10, March 18th

$49.99, April 1st (2x)


https://backpack.tf/item/7956459974 - April 1st

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MNRRPJG3 - No B/O

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-04-01&price=49.99 - $49.99 / $1.69 = 29.58 keys (2x)

No bot.tf snapshots available for any sales prior to this one. Last one before the one above was last year.


https://backpack.tf/item/7955936669 - March 1st

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-01&price=41.99 - $41.99 / $1.73 = 24.27 keys


Can’t find the other history

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-18&price=32.1 - $32.1 / $1.69 = 18.99 keys


After rounding, we have:

19 keys

24 keys

30 keys (2x)


Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/7957554892 (#1 & #2)

https://backpack.tf/item/7957199041 (#3-5)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956459974 (#6)

https://backpack.tf/item/7955936669 (#7)

https://backpack.tf/item/7955936669 (#8 & #9)

https://backpack.tf/item/3918513529 (#10)

https://backpack.tf/item/7957528403 - untraceable, nothing matches seller’s side, buyer’s side doesn’t have a useful compare link


#1

Bulk for Beams Bat

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197970682735#!/compare/1583712000/1583971200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097499917#!/compare/1583884800/1583971200


#2

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1585008000/1585094400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198124562711#!/compare/1548979200/1586390400


#3

Untraceable, the items match

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075597508#!/compare/1578960000/1579046400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198354629485#!/compare/1578960000/1579046400


#4

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198354629485#!/compare/1578960000/1579046400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198103017176#!/compare/1578960000/1579046400

1 key matches on the seller’s end, nothing matches on the buyer’s end


#5

Backpack purchase/alt transfer or whatever

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198878541173#!/compare/1582934400/1583107200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021346086#!/compare/1555200000/1583193600


#6

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198256831110#!/compare/1584316800/1584489600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1584316800/1584403200


#7

Untraceable, 20 keys match

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1581379200/1581465600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198402985446#!/compare/1581206400/1581465600

Can guarantee it sold for more than 20.


#8

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198402985446#!/compare/1582243200/1582416000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267189538#!/compare/1582329600/1582416000

Nothing matches on the buyer’s end


#9

SCM

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141107054#!/compare/1583798400/1583884800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198368397888#!/compare/1573344000/1584489600


#10

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1580601600/1580688000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198110701650#!/compare/1580688000/1580774400

Sale after this is also untraceable, the buyer doesn’t have a compare link that can be used.


Holy Grail Soldier’s Requiem Mini:

Sale 1:

Sold for 4 keys


Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198986769313#!/compare/1580342400/1580515200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198986769313#!/compare/1580342400/1580515200

https://backpack.tf/item/7649123008

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MGZVWJQW - listed at 4


4 keys


Sale 2:

Sold for ~4 keys


Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198301137836#!/compare/1577232000/1579219200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198301137836#!/compare/1577232000/1579219200

https://backpack.tf/item/6112681509


4 keys:


Sale 3:

Sold for 4 keys


Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198838447026#!/compare/1578355200/1578441600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198332887622#!/compare/1578441600/1578528000

https://backpack.tf/item/6112681509


4 keys


Sale 4:

Sold to a bot for 3 keys + ~13 ref (~3.25)


Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198183165447#!/compare/1579737600/1579824000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198838447026#!/compare/1579737600/1579824000

https://backpack.tf/item/5670516644


3.25 keys


Sale 5:

Sold to a bot for 3 keys + 29 ref (~3.55)


Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198110834357#!/compare/1579219200/1579305600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198335791307#!/compare/1579219200/1579305600

https://backpack.tf/item/4257646323


3.55 keys


Taking 3.25-4 (~3.65) for the Requiem.


Miami Nights Texas Ten Gallon Mini:

Sold for 34 keys?


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198304302520#!/compare/1585008000/1585094400 - very clearly 34 keys here

https://backpack.tf/item/6730293021 - buyer’s backpack probably hasn’t been scanned, key histories show many different users, so it’s likely they didn’t have their backpack scanned with the keys in them either.

https://i.imgur.com/yRZn1X0.png - bot.tf confirms.


Due to how finnicky this sale is, and the fact that other sales on the hat are either below buyers or above the seller, I’ll just stick to using this as a mini.


Sellers/Buyers:

https://i.imgur.com/dMXz9Cg.png

No sellers, Buyers as high as ~22 keys, 5 are at least 21 keys


Sales at:

19

20 (2x)

21

23

25

30 (2x)

34


Too many quicksales to be excluded. Also, I’m going to disregard at least one of the buy orders higher than 21, due to unreliability. I’ll be keeping a low-end at around quickbuyer prices. Excluding 19 and 20.

34 is an outlier, excluding 34.

Going with 21-30.

Avatar ★ Jarool · posted

    New sales:


    Sale 1:

    Sold for 26 keys


    Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1587340800/1587427200

    Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154980039#!/compare/1587340800/1587427200

    https://backpack.tf/item/7955695009


    26 keys


    Sale 2:

    Sold for Blizzardy Storm Samur-Eye (13.5) + 8 keys


    Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198823319707#!/compare/1586822400/1586995200

    Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198934020885#!/compare/1586908800/1586995200

    https://backpack.tf/item/7957254968

    https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y80Q7WLD - No B/O


    22 keys


    Other Sales:

    https://backpack.tf/item/7957254968 (#1-4)

    https://backpack.tf/item/7955695009 (#5)

    https://backpack.tf/item/7955584162 (#6)


    #1

    Untraceable

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198934020885#!/compare/1586908800/1586995200

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073242439#!/compare/1586908800/1586995200


    #2

    Untraceable

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073242439#!/compare/1586995200/1587081600

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311431152#!/compare/1586736000/1587081600


    #3

    Sold for Vivid Modest Metal + ~2 keys in pure/items

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311431152#!/compare/1587168000/1587254400

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101915413#!/compare/1587168000/1587254400

    The Modest looks pretty overpriced with sellers at 24 and 26. Might be better to use this there instead. Will most likely fit in the range if used here.


    #4

    Untraceable

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101915413#!/compare/1587168000/1587254400

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192781842#!/compare/1587168000/1587254400


    #5

    Untraceable

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093437542#!/compare/1586822400/1587427200

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1587168000/1587254400


    #6

    Untraceable

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074043822#!/compare/1586736000/1586822400

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358296372#!/compare/1586736000/1586822400

    https://i.imgur.com/I3Drtpn.png - labelled as 22 keys + 1 ref


    Both fit into the range


    https://i.imgur.com/UwxKEwh.png

    https://backpack.tf/item/7955584162

    https://backpack.tf/item/7957254968

    Sellers at 32 keys, 3 buyers at 21 now. Probably still not worth excluding 21. Would only affect the range by half a key, with the sale at 22.

    Avatar ★ Jarool · posted