Sale 1:

Sold for 10 different unusuals

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061779536#!/compare/1579737600/1579824000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198262431135#!/compare/1579737600/1579824000

https://backpack.tf/item/7957415833 - gambled afterwards

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y7DVR299 - B/O of 100

Will easily cap, no minis needed.

100 keys (capped by B/O)

Sale 2:

Sold for Haunted Ghosts Brotherhood of Arms (86.5)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197994697258#!/compare/1581552000/1581811200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098726977#!/compare/1581724800/1581811200

https://backpack.tf/item/7957457036

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y9GE98ON - B/O of 90

87 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 61 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1586217600/1586304000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154415488#!/compare/1585872000/1586304000

https://backpack.tf/item/8252681953

61 keys

Sale 4:

Sold for 60 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155441223#!/compare/1582761600/1582934400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097271466#!/compare/1582848000/1582934400

https://backpack.tf/item/7956046197

60 keys

Sale 5:

Sold for Scorching Flames Prince Tavish’s Crown

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1585353600/1585440000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198159787257#!/compare/1585353600/1585440000

https://backpack.tf/item/7957415833

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4R00KO29 - B/O of 60

https://i.imgur.com/ghu9bqA.png - buyers on the Tavish at 65+. This’ll cap.

60 keys (capped by B/O)

Sale 6:

Sold to a bot for 58 keys + 5 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198324700619#!/compare/1584576000/1584662400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198335791307#!/compare/1584576000/1584662400

https://backpack.tf/item/2225984414

https://i.imgur.com/5qVlyjR.png - bot.tf confirms

58 keys

Sale 7:

Sold to a bot for 57 keys + 26 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081042493#!/compare/1583625600/1583798400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1583712000/1583798400

https://backpack.tf/item/8252681953

https://i.imgur.com/5qVlyjR.png - bot.tf confirms

57 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/538;5;u62

$119, Feb 26th

$119, March 25th

$140, April 2nd

$119, April 2nd

$145, April 7th

https://backpack.tf/item/7956650286 - Feb 26th most likely, nothing useful in the compare links

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-02-26&price=119 - $119 / $1.77 = 67.23 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4ZKG69QX - B/O of 69

https://backpack.tf/item/8252681953 - March 25th

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-25&price=119 - $119 / $1.69 = 70.41 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y3W5KZ8Q - No B/O

https://backpack.tf/item/7956525538 - one of the 3 April sales, can’t pinpoint which exactly

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M0O7ZO1Q - no B/O

Can’t find histories for the other April sales.

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-04-02&price=140 - $140 / $1.69 = 82.84 keys

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-04-02&price=119 - $119 / $1.69 = 70.41 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4ZPP89D0 - Several B/Os below these prices

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-04-07&price=145 - $145 / $1.69 = 85.80 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MQ0GV8N2 - Several B/Os below this price

After rounding, we have:

70 keys (2x)

86 keys

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/8252681953 (#1-4)

https://backpack.tf/item/7957457036 (#5)

https://backpack.tf/item/7957457036 (#6)

https://backpack.tf/item/7957415833(#7-11)

https://backpack.tf/item/7957038517 (#11 & #12)

https://backpack.tf/item/3632253560 (#13)

https://backpack.tf/item/2225984414 (#14)

https://backpack.tf/item/2225984414 (#15 & #16)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956089124 (#17)

https://backpack.tf/item/2178548363 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/7955558705 - tradeit

https://backpack.tf/item/8049012004 - tradeit

#1

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198860826977#!/compare/1578960000/1581033600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198860826977#!/compare/1578960000/1581033600

#2

Bulk, trade hold for GE KE

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198860826977#!/compare/1581984000/1583971200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081042493#!/compare/1583539200/1583625600

#3

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198269395083#!/compare/1583798400/1583884800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198442247745#!/compare/1583798400/1583884800

#4

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090476437#!/compare/1585353600/1586304000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1586217600/1586304000

#5

Bulk for Duped Scorching Full Metal Drill Hat

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070593964#!/compare/1579392000/1579478400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198285371555#!/compare/1579219200/1579392000

#6

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198285371555#!/compare/1579910400/1579996800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197994697258#!/compare/1579910400/1580083200

#7

Sold with 15 keys for Sunbeams Deep Cover Operator

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098726977#!/compare/1581897600/1582070400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080250669#!/compare/1580083200/1581897600

Should be used on the DCO.

#8

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079358892#!/compare/1582588800/1582675200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1582588800/1582675200

#9

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198159787257#!/compare/1585526400/1585612800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1585526400/1585612800

#10

Untraceable, only some keys/metal match

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1586131200/1586217600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121256414#!/compare/1586044800/1586131200

#11

Sold for Galactic Gateway Hephaistos’ Headcraft

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198124993975#!/compare/1578614400/1579392000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061779536#!/compare/1579305600/1579392000

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MVR2RVR2 - B/O of 80

Seems pretty low, considering the hat’s sellers. Probably better off not being used on either hat, unless it caps at a B/O if used on the Headcraft. Excluding.

#12

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105071091#!/compare/1580601600/1580688000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026459591#!/compare/1580601600/1580688000

#13

Bulk for GE KE again lol

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026459591#!/compare/1580860800/1580947200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156255538#!/compare/1580860800/1580947200

#14

Sold for Slumber Boxcar + Disco Beat Down Big Country + Aces Tam?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1584316800/1584403200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198395318833#!/compare/1583971200/1584403200

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y3WNK3GE - B/O of ~68

I feel like there are contents missing. Seller’s end shows a Miami Fr0 that matches the ID of the trade, but I don’t know if it was actually involved.

#15

Bulk for Circling Heart Globetrotter

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050745352#!/compare/1584144000/1584230400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198171447086#!/compare/1584144000/1584230400

#16

Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198171447086#!/compare/1584489600/1584576000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198324700619#!/compare/1584489600/1584576000

#17

Sold for 61 keys + ’72 Shred Alert + Head of the Dead (~2)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079468968#!/compare/1582588800/1582675200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198834188334#!/compare/1582675200/1582848000

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MLRD55PO - No B/O

The Shred alert will end up being around 5 keys, making this sale ~68, which is fairly higher than current sellers. Not making a mini on the Shred for a sale that isn’t gonna affect the range here. Excluding.

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/wUuduON.png

https://backpack.tf/item/7956046197 - 63 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7957457036 - 65 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/2225984414 - 75 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7957038517 - 75 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/2252907537 - 100 keys

Sales at:

57

58

60 (2x)

61

67

70 (2x)

83

86

87

100

Sellers at 63 and 65, and the fact that most sales above that are marketplace sales, which hare not an accurate representation of this item’s pure price, indicate that anything above these sellers are too high. Excluding 67+. Additionally, most of these sales are fairly old, or are missing a B/O.

Taking 57-61.