Sale 1:

Sold for Pro. KS Aus Black Box (~19) + Kill-a-Watt Noble Nickel + Stormy Storm Milkman

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198357093059#!/compare/1585180800/1585267200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094856925#!/compare/1585180800/1585267200

https://backpack.tf/item/7956827213

https://i.imgur.com/qqiBDdD.png - B/O of 40

Will most likely cap at the B/O. Doesn’t matter if it does or not, as it’ll end up being a fair bit higher than current sellers anyway.

40 keys (Capped by B/O)

Sale 2:

Sold for 37 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1586044800/1586131200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198177472478#!/compare/1586131200/1586304000

https://backpack.tf/item/1933385368

37 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 31 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1584576000/1584662400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148511293#!/compare/1584576000/1584662400

https://backpack.tf/item/8440885029

https://i.imgur.com/qqiBDdD.png - bot.tf confirms

31 keys

Sale 4:

Sold for 30 keys + ~1 key in metal

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1585180800/1585267200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198827124516#!/compare/1585180800/1585267200

https://backpack.tf/item/7956973721

31 keys

Sale 5:

Sold for 31 keys (Buyer’s end)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1584921600/1585008000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199003019669#!/compare/1584921600/1585094400

https://backpack.tf/item/1933385368

31 keys

Sale 6:

Sold to a bot for 30 keys + 5 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192602363#!/compare/1584576000/1584662400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1584576000/1584662400

https://backpack.tf/item/8440885029

https://i.imgur.com/qqiBDdD.png - bot.tf confirms

30 keys

Sale 7:

Sold for 30 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035701234#!/compare/1582502400/1582588800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136254822#!/compare/1582416000/1582502400

https://backpack.tf/item/6324915094

30 keys

Sale 8:

Sold for 30 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136254822#!/compare/1582761600/1582848000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042562877#!/compare/1582675200/1582761600

https://backpack.tf/item/6324915094

30 keys

Sale 9:

Sold for 29 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198818035498#!/compare/1585180800/1585267200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198357093059#!/compare/1585180800/1585267200

https://backpack.tf/item/7201343624

https://i.imgur.com/qqiBDdD.png - bot.tf confirms, excluding the scrap

29 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30119;5;u61

Couldn’t find history

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-21&price=75 - $75 / $1.68 = 44.64 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y3W5J1N1 - Several B/Os below the price at the time

After rounding, we have 45 keys

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/8440885029 (#1)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956973721 (#2-5)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956827213 (#6 & 7)

https://backpack.tf/item/7201343624 (#8-10)

https://backpack.tf/item/6324915094 (#11)

https://backpack.tf/item/2627152057 (#12)

https://backpack.tf/item/1933385368 (#13 & #14)

#1

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148511293#!/compare/1585094400/1585180800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198102391003#!/compare/1584576000/1585180800

Only 26 keys match

#2

Bulk for Beams Chullo

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198251379152#!/compare/1584576000/1584662400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057412106#!/compare/1584576000/1584662400

#3

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057412106#!/compare/1584748800/1584835200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1584748800/1584835200

#4

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198827124516#!/compare/1585440000/1585526400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198175367966#!/compare/1585440000/1585526400

DP Rotation was involved, don’t know what else was though.

#5

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198175367966#!/compare/1585440000/1585526400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1585440000/1585526400

#6

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198271502853#!/compare/1579737600/1584576000 - private (?) backpack, wasn’t scanned after the sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1584489600/1584576000

https://i.imgur.com/qqiBDdD.png - labelled as 30 keys + 5 ref

#7

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198269395083#!/compare/1584662400/1584748800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198357093059#!/compare/1584662400/1584748800

Some keys match on the Buyer’s end, but not enough.

https://i.imgur.com/qqiBDdD.png - labelled as 29 keys + 10 ref

#8

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198317418604#!/compare/1584403200/1584662400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1584576000/1584662400

#9

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1584576000/1584662400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1584576000/1584662400

#10

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1585180800/1585267200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198818035498#!/compare/1585180800/1585267200

#11

Bulk for Beams Modest Metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057765758#!/compare/1582416000/1582502400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035701234#!/compare/1582416000/1582502400

#12

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198193170813#!/compare/1581984000/1582070400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198342161127#!/compare/1582156800/1582243200

#13

Untraceaable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1584576000/1584662400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1584576000/1584662400

#14

Sold for 27 keys?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199003019669#!/compare/1585180800/1585353600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1585094400/1585180800

Probably a little off given what the buyer was paying at the time

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MLVVRXXG

Sellers/Buyers:

https://i.imgur.com/7EzWw5m.png

https://i.imgur.com/v2AaRXo.png

https://i.imgur.com/RWHrN90.png

https://backpack.tf/item/7956973721 - 34 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7956876898 - 35 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7201343624 - 37 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/2627152057 - 39 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/6324915094 - 40 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/2347314413 - 75 keys, duped

2 legit buyers at 29+ keys

Sales at:

29

30 (3x)

31 (3x)

37

40

45

37 and higher are outliers, given current sellers. Excluding 37+.

Going to exclude 29 due to buy orders at 29, despite how unreliable one of them may be.

Taking 30-31.