Sale 1:

Sold to a bot for 30 keys + some metal

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154871730#!/compare/1586131200/1586736000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1586563200/1586649600

https://backpack.tf/item/7957519368

30 keys

Sale 2:

Sold to a bot for 30 keys + some metal

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198309832044#!/compare/1586131200/1586217600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198295486957#!/compare/1586131200/1586217600

https://backpack.tf/item/7955854266

30 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30413;5;u61

No bot.tf snapshots of this year available.

https://backpack.tf/item/7956080299 - Probably Jan 14th

https://backpack.tf/item/7956120222 - Most likely March 25th

Can’t find the other

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-01-14&price=75 - $75 / $1.77 = 42.37 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-01-24&price=69 - $69 / $1.79 = 38.55 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-25&price=50 - $50 / $1.69 = 29.59 keys

After rounding, we have:

42 keys

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/7957011003 (#1)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956120222 (#2-4)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956080299 (#5-7)

https://backpack.tf/item/5022705269 (#8-10)

https://backpack.tf/item/7955631773 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/4946245099 - gambled

#1

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198964982078#!/compare/1580601600/1580947200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195084687#!/compare/1560556800/1580947200

#2

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198173363379#!/compare/1585180800/1585267200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1585094400/1585180800

https://i.imgur.com/N0KoBCK.png - labelled as 30 keys + 16 ref

#3

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198269395083#!/compare/1585180800/1585267200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198442247745#!/compare/1585267200/1585958400

#4

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198442247745#!/compare/1585267200/1585958400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097271466#!/compare/1585180800/1585267200

#5

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097271466#!/compare/1579046400/1579132800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002245914#!/compare/1579046400/1579478400

#6

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002245914#!/compare/1579737600/1579824000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198363395191#!/compare/1579651200/1579737600

#7

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198363395191#!/compare/1579651200/1579737600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198880237311#!/compare/1578441600/1580256000

#8

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1581120000/1581206400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198933270485#!/compare/1580774400/1581292800

#9

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198933270485#!/compare/1581292800/1581465600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1581379200/1581465600

#10

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1581379200/1581465600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198254192273#!/compare/1581379200/1581897600

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/TJSJOtf.png

https://i.imgur.com/AnGUtxg.png

https://backpack.tf/item/7957519368 - ~31 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7955854266 - 31 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7956120222 - ~32.4 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7957011003 - 36 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7955871543 - 38 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/6217234072 - 38 keys

Sales at:

30 (3x)

39

42

30 certainly isn’t gonna get ignored just due to the buyers, especially with no other sales at a reasonable price, and the sellers a key (or less) higher than these sales. The buy orders are likely to disappear while this suggestion is open anyways.

6 sellers for lower show that the 2+ month old marketplace sales are outliers. Excluding 39 and 42.

Going with 30 flat.