Suggestion: Scorching Flames Archer's Sterling at 22–29 keys

Looking at the Authority, there are buyers at nearly 13 keys, which would bring this to at least 31 keys. Given the current seller at 30, and the pure sales for cheaper, it would be better to exclude this sale here. We at least have a high-end of 29 here anyways due to the marketplace sale. This sale can be used to support the high-end.

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30874;5;u14

$58, Feb 25th

$39.99, March 18th

$30.45, March 27th

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-02-25&price=58 - $58 / $1.77 = 32.77 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/6969236186

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4KRK3020 - B/O of 29

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079578383#!/compare/1582502400/1582848000 - Doesn’t show it leaving their backpack either, so it must’ve sold on marketplace if it did sell. Using that as the B/O for this sale.

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-18&price=39.99 - $39.99 / $1.69 = 23.66 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/6969236186

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MLVRG7LO - B/O of 22

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-27&price=30.45 - $30.45 / $1.69 = 18.02 keys

Can’t find history.

After rounding, we have:

18 keys

22 keys (Capped by B/O)

29 keys (Capped by B/O)

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/7373994393 (#1)

https://backpack.tf/item/7138464944 (#2-4)

https://backpack.tf/item/6980640689 (#5-7)

https://backpack.tf/item/6969236186 (#8-13)

https://backpack.tf/item/7832289632 - no sale here, transferred to alt or something

Bulk for Nebula Translator

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198377298887#!/compare/1585094400/1585267200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1585180800/1585267200

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037674114#!/compare/1583884800/1585094400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1583798400/1583884800

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1584662400/1584748800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150722827#!/compare/1584662400/1584748800

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150722827#!/compare/1584835200/1584921600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109986831#!/compare/1584748800/1584921600

Sold for 12 keys + 4 ref?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198218784429#!/compare/1579305600/1579392000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1579305600/1579392000

https://i.imgur.com/1OnNOQk.png

Excluding, for obvious reasons.

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1579564800/1579651200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084361948#!/compare/1579564800/1579824000

https://i.imgur.com/1OnNOQk.png - labelled as 21 keys

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084361948#!/compare/1580169600/1580256000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267189538#!/compare/1580083200/1580169600

Sold with a couple keys in items for Burning Brain-Warming Wear

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132403284#!/compare/1579478400/1579564800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261265788#!/compare/1579392000/1579564800

Too low if used here, too high if used there (looking at brain sellers)

Bulk for Cauldron Anger

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198307370048#!/compare/1582934400/1583020800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138125656#!/compare/1582934400/1583020800

Using on Anger.

#10

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138125656#!/compare/1583020800/1583107200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1583020800/1583107200

#11

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1583020800/1583107200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077077233#!/compare/1583020800/1583107200

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MQ9OJOQQ - some keys are missing for sure

#12

Bulk for Haunted Ghosts Brown Bomber

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077077233#!/compare/1583107200/1583280000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267189538#!/compare/1583193600/1583280000

#13

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267189538#!/compare/1584316800/1584403200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198835360932#!/compare/1584057600/1584835200

Ghosts Noble Nickel Mini:

Sold for 16 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097271466#!/compare/1580947200/1581033600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198392734059#!/compare/1581033600/1581120000

https://backpack.tf/item/8256356096

16 keys

Taking 16 keys. Didn’t turn this into a full suggestion as this was the only usable sale on it currently. There was another sale for an item that doesn’t have a usable mini, and if that re-sells, the Nickel would need a redo. Shouldn’t affect this suggestion much anyways as the sale this item is used on is gonna be an outlier.

Sellers/Buyers:

https://i.imgur.com/SNkGq0D.png

https://backpack.tf/item/7373994393 - 30 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/6980640689 - 35 keys

4 buyers at 21+ keys.

Sales at:

22 (2x)

And another sale at 30+, supporting the high-end.

Many buyers at 21, excluding 21 and under.

Taking 22-29.