Sale 1:

Sold for 40 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097271466#!/compare/1579737600/1579824000

https://backpack.tf/item/7955839430 (gambled after this)

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y9GDRKWN - B/O of 40

Buyer can’t be found, doesn’t match the next in the history. Definitely gambled away, I have no doubts that it sold for 40 though. Even if I’m wrong, this fits in the range anyway.

40 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 25 keys + 5 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198878948902#!/compare/1581379200/1581465600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358482558#!/compare/1581379200/1581465600

https://backpack.tf/item/7956523911

https://i.imgur.com/XETyvp6.png - bot.tf confirms

25 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30553;5;u58

$60, Jan 16th

$80, Jan 18th

https://backpack.tf/item/7957614396 - Jan 16th (everything afterwards was gambling)

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MGZ118JZ - No B/O

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-01-16&price=60 - $60 / $1.78 = 33.71 keys

Can’t find other history.

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-01-18&price=80 - $80 / $1.78 = 44.94 keys

After rounding, we have:

45 keys

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/7956523911 (#1 & #2)

https://backpack.tf/item/5883491376 - marketplace/tradeit

https://backpack.tf/item/7956961089 - gambled

#1

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198315881059#!/compare/1579305600/1579651200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027857565#!/compare/1579478400/1579564800

#2

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358482558#!/compare/1582761600/1582848000

Buyer can’t be found

https://i.imgur.com/XETyvp6.png - labelled as 44 keys

Sellers/Buyers:

https://i.imgur.com/CU5za0O.png

https://backpack.tf/item/5883491376 - 43 keys

Buyers at ~31 keys.

Sales at:

25

34

40

45

Excluding 25 due to buyers.

45 isn’t too high above the seller at 43, so I’ll keep it.

Taking 34-45.