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History: https://backpack.tf/item/1672727853
Sale 1: Norah to Dinner
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120672630#!/compare/1578182400/1578441600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108020471#!/compare/1578355200/1578441600
Bulk sale, not applicable.
Sale 2: Dinner to AshyTheAngel
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198323071283#!/compare/1579392000/1579564800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120672630#!/compare/1579392000/1579478400
First link is untrace, but second link shows 16 keys going to Ashy's backpack.
Sold for 16 keys pure.
Sale 3: AshyTheAngel to Draker
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068571295#!/compare/1578960000/1579564800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198323071283#!/compare/1579478400/1579564800
Sold for 12 keys pure?
Sale 4: Draker to Lord Goose
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198324276106#!/compare/1579392000/1579564800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068571295#!/compare/1579478400/1579910400
Link seems to be incomplete, only shows 3 keys?
Sold for 3 keys, OUTLIER.
Final: 12 - 16
https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/712503971515990106/712504070476398653/image0.png - Sale 3 was 19 Keys
https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/712503971515990106/712504070883115038/image1.png - Sale 4 was 30 Keys
Given it took 12 days to sell for 16 Keys, and since 16 Keys is close to 19 Keys, I'd cut out 30 Keys.
Additionally, since it only took 1 day to sell for 19 Keys and 30 Keys, I'd cut out 16 Keys.
19 flat will work.
for sale #4, some of the keys being acquired in the 30 seem to connect making me more or less think that #4 is 30 keys and not 3 keys (also helps that he had a 30 key b/o - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/YDLNO71X )
Also seems odd for the buyer of 16 to dump for 12 within the same day, somewhat interesting how 22 keys leave the bp without anything else notable going into the bp, might be worth contacting the buyer for the "12" to see if that actually is the sale.
Also given buyers @ 11+, I feel like 12 could be considered low - https://gyazo.com/552edb3b84153aa0f4b8462fad7610f9 . Might be best to go 16 flat but you should wait for a mods opinion.
Thank you for the reply, the sales on this hat did seem a little odd to me, I was gonna go for 16 flat initially, but I took the range to be "safe". If a mod says that it's too low, I'll resuggest with 16 flat. Also thank you for showing me the bot.tf listing resource, I'll be sure to use that in future suggestions.