Sale 1:

Sold for 22 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095236132#!/compare/1585526400/1585612800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056994783#!/compare/1585526400/1586044800

https://backpack.tf/item/7956461885

22 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 20 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089444465#!/compare/1583193600/1583539200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095236132#!/compare/1583539200/1583625600

https://backpack.tf/item/7956461885

20 keys

Sale 3:

Sold to a bot for 20 keys + some metal

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044195191#!/compare/1582329600/1583280000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198335791307#!/compare/1583193600/1583280000

https://backpack.tf/item/8434301194

Was taken off marketplace and then sold to the bot.

20 keys

Sale 4:

Sold to a bot for 19 keys + 20 ref?

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198957518408#!/compare/1579651200/1583020800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198295486957#!/compare/1582934400/1583020800

https://backpack.tf/item/7957465856

18 keys and the metal match, but bot.tf states it was 19 keys and 20 ref

https://i.imgur.com/yofJjdn.png

Given that this is only one key off, and the key was probably used before the end of the day, I’ll just assume that bot.tf is correct, and register the sale as is.

19 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30066;5;u59

$46.98, Feb 5th

$38.99, March 5th

$38.99, March 6th

$39.95, March 13th

$25.25, March 24th

$42.78, April 11th

https://backpack.tf/item/8434301194 - Not this one, just an FYI. See Sale 3.

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-05&price=38.99 - $38.99 / $1.69 = 23.07 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MVRVD876 - No B/O

https://backpack.tf/item/8434301194 - Sold to a bot for ~20 keys shortly afterwards, according to bot.tf

https://backpack.tf/item/7957465856 - March 6th

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-03-06&price=38.99 - $38.99 / $1.71 = 22.80 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y35QXR60 - No B/O

Couldn’t find any other histories

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-02-05&price=46.98 - $46.98 / $1.77 = 26.54 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4EE1R3QQ - No important B/O

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-13&price=39.95 - $39.95 / $1.72 = 23.23 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y3WN1O10 - No important B/O

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-03-24&price=25.25 - $25.25 / $1.68 = 15.03 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y9QG87RN - No important B/O

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-04-11&price=42.78 - $42.78 / $1.70 = 25.16 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y9QLQWO6 - No important B/O

After rounding, we have:

23 keys (3x)

27 keys

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/8060239695 (#1 & #2)

https://backpack.tf/item/7957465856 (#3 & #4)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956756180 (#5-7)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956461885 (#8 & #9)

https://backpack.tf/item/7957057738 (#10 & #11)

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037674114#!/compare/1579305600/1580342400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198877320307#!/compare/1579305600/1579392000

#2

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198877320307#!/compare/1579305600/1579392000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1579305600/1579392000

#3

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1579478400/1579564800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198210292515#!/compare/1578268800/1580342400

#4

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1580947200/1581033600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198247934468#!/compare/1583020800/1583107200

#5

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1580947200/1581033600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141455733#!/compare/1580947200/1581033600

#6

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141455733#!/compare/1581379200/1581465600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1581292800/1581379200

#7

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1583193600/1583280000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198153657886#!/compare/1582761600/1583366400

#8

Bulk for Vivid Executioner

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198307370048#!/compare/1583020800/1583107200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198307370048#!/compare/1583020800/1583107200

#9

Bulk for Burning Tundra

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057412106#!/compare/1583452800/1583539200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089444465#!/compare/1583193600/1583539200

#10

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1581724800/1581811200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188545677#!/compare/1547683200/1581897600

#11

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188545677#!/compare/1582588800/1582934400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198295486957#!/compare/1582502400/1582848000

https://i.imgur.com/yofJjdn.png - Labelled as ~19 keys

Sellers/Buyers:

https://i.imgur.com/Z5r5L3S.png

https://backpack.tf/item/8434301194 - 26 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/3732328045 - 34 keys

Sales at:

15

19

20 (2x)

22

23 (3x)

25

27

15 is an outlier, excluding.

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MVRVD876 - Seller at 26 is over a month old. Excluding 27.

Keeping 20, due to large amounts of sales around that price. Will excluding 19 though.

Taking 20-25.