Sale 1:

Sold with a key for Stormy Universal Translator (16)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069493147#!/compare/1585785600/1585872000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026952339#!/compare/1585785600/1585872000

https://backpack.tf/item/7956960745

15 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 14 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107192699#!/compare/1579564800/1579651200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072453271#!/compare/1578614400/1579651200

https://backpack.tf/item/1990436583

14 keys

Sale 3:

Sold with Festive Sapper for 13 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099686112#!/compare/1586131200/1586217600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198415907231#!/compare/1586044800/1586217600

https://backpack.tf/item/7956960745

13 keys

Sale 4:

Sold for 13 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121345519#!/compare/1585526400/1585699200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198418859914#!/compare/1577059200/1585612800

https://backpack.tf/item/7956926048

13 keys

Sale 5:

Sold for 12 keys + ~1 key in metal

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1585094400/1585180800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198972294135#!/compare/1585094400/1585180800

https://backpack.tf/item/7956392008

13 keys

Sale 6:

Sold for 13 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198354979270#!/compare/1586390400/1586649600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063906157#!/compare/1560902400/1586649600

https://backpack.tf/item/2850708874

13 keys

Sale 7:

Sold for Spec. KS Aus Ambassador (~9) + ~4 keys in pure/items (buyer’s end)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1586476800/1586563200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083856665#!/compare/1586476800/1586563200

https://backpack.tf/item/7956960745

13 keys

Sale 8:

Sold for 12 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198844790409#!/compare/1585872000/1586044800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198158482500#!/compare/1585958400/1586044800

https://backpack.tf/item/7956926048

12 keys

Sale 9:

Sold for 12 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164721898#!/compare/1586476800/1586563200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108797381#!/compare/1586390400/1586563200

https://backpack.tf/item/7956960745

12 keys

Sale 10:

Sold for 11 keys + 22 ref?

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198222956964#!/compare/1586217600/1586995200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1586304000/1586390400

https://backpack.tf/item/7956203815

https://i.imgur.com/PpKCpXx.png - Bot.tf states 11 keys + 22 ref were involved. We see exactly 22 ref, so I don’t doubt that it sold for 11 keys and 22 ref exactly.

11 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/400;5;u58

$23.95, March 3rd

$23.95, March 6th

$24.95, March 23rd

$24.95, March 26th

$24.95, April 3rd

No snapshot histories this year.

https://backpack.tf/item/1792066060 - March 3rd

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-03&price=23.95 - $23.95 / $1.68 = 14.26 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7956926048 - March 6th

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-06&price=23.95 - $23.95 / $1.71 = 14.01 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/2850708874 - April 3rd

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-04-03&price=24.95 - $24.95 / $1.70 = 14.68 keys

Couldn’t find the remaining histories

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-23&price=24.95 - $24.95 / $1.68 = 14.85 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-26&price=24.95 - $24.95 / $1.68 = 14.85 keys

After rounding, we have:

14 keys (2x)

15 keys (3x)

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/7956926048 (#1-3)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956392008 (#4)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956203815 (#5)

https://backpack.tf/item/2850708874 (#6 & #7)

https://backpack.tf/item/1990436583 (#8-11)

https://backpack.tf/item/1792066060 (#12)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956960745 (#13-19)

#1

Sold with several keys in pure/items for Disco Beat Down Desert Marauder

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068667315#!/compare/1583539200/1583625600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121345519#!/compare/1583539200/1583712000

#2

Sold for Vivid Plasma Backbreaker’s Skullcracker

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198158482500#!/compare/1586044800/1586131200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142586606#!/compare/1585785600/1586044800

#3

Sold for Disco Beat Down Crack Pot + 4 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198418859914#!/compare/1585872000/1585958400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198844790409#!/compare/1585872000/1586044800

This’ll either end up being too high, or will fit in the range. Not worth making a mini for this if it isn’t gonna affect the range. I’m even less inclined to use this sale here when there’s no B/O available here.

#4

Bulk for Frostbite Dapper Topper

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198972294135#!/compare/1585267200/1585353600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150597524#!/compare/1585180800/1585353600

#5

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1586304000/1586390400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108797381#!/compare/1586390400/1586563200

https://i.imgur.com/PpKCpXx.png - labelled as 11 keys + 48 ref

#6

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049667475#!/compare/1584057600/1584144000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198363395191#!/compare/1584057600/1584144000

#7

Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131479738#!/compare/1585958400/1586044800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198354979270#!/compare/1585872000/1586044800

#8

Sold for Festivized Strange Minigun (~1.5) + Aces High Soviet Gentleman

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198373724636#!/compare/1579392000/1579478400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137465310#!/compare/1579392000/1579478400

Should be used on the Gentleman, we have enough sales here.

#9

Sold for Stormy Storm YWN

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137465310#!/compare/1579564800/1579651200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107192699#!/compare/1579564800/1579651200

Can be used on the YWN, we have enough pure sales. We also don’t have access to B/Os here.

#10

Sold with 6 keys for DBD Cold Killer

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072453271#!/compare/1580169600/1580256000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198799319181#!/compare/1580083200/1580169600

Too high here, too low there.

#11

Bulk, untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198799319181#!/compare/1580169600/1580256000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198342161127#!/compare/1580169600/1580256000

#12

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060764927#!/compare/1583798400/1586995200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104656026#!/compare/1584921600/1585180800

Could be the March 26th marketplace sale

#13

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1584576000/1584662400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198975550709#!/compare/1584489600/1584835200

#14

Bulk for Beams Tin Topi

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198975550709#!/compare/1584835200/1584921600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198361900367#!/compare/1584835200/1584921600

#15

Bulk for Terror-Watt Hat With No Name

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198361900367#!/compare/1585699200/1585785600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069493147#!/compare/1585699200/1585785600

#16

Bulk for DBD Front Runner

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026952339#!/compare/1585872000/1585958400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198826254247#!/compare/1585872000/1585958400

#17

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198826254247#!/compare/1586044800/1586131200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099686112#!/compare/1585958400/1586044800

#18

Sold with some keys for Circling Heart Climbing Commander

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198415907231#!/compare/1586304000/1586563200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1586476800/1586563200

#19

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083856665#!/compare/1586476800/1586563200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164721898#!/compare/1586476800/1586563200

Sellers/Buyers:

https://i.imgur.com/j1KfLqF.png

https://backpack.tf/item/7956203815 - 15 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/2105842626 - ~20.3 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/1990436583 - 22 keys

Buyers at ~11.8 keys

Sales at:

11

12 (2x)

13 (5x)

14 (3x)

15 (4x)

Excluding 11 due to buyers for higher.

Taking 12-15.