Sale 1:

Sold for Cloud 9 Desert Marauder (Suggestion at 13.5) + ’72 Flip (Suggestion at ~4.4) + ~4 keys in items (buds + taunt)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069493147#!/compare/1585699200/1585785600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198361900367#!/compare/1585699200/1585785600

https://backpack.tf/item/7957538034

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MLVLG198 - No B/O

22 keys:

Sale 2:

Sold for 20 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1580256000/1580342400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198250999642#!/compare/1580342400/1580428800

https://backpack.tf/item/7956143000

20 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/631;5;u57

$39.99, Jan 16th

$55.56, Feb 18th

https://backpack.tf/item/7956908704 - Feb 18th

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-02-18&price=55.56 - $55.56 / $1.77 = 31.39 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/YD9KZ2XM - No B/O

https://backpack.tf/item/7957258313 - Jan 16th

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-01-16&price=39.99 - $39.99 / $1.78 = 22.47 keys

Snapshots don’t go this far back

After rounding, we have:

31 keys

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/7957538034 (#1)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956143000 (#2)

#1

Bulk for DBD Rifleman

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198361900367#!/compare/1586304000/1586390400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126414638#!/compare/1586217600/1586390400

#2

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198250999642#!/compare/1580774400/1580860800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198361891514#!/compare/1580774400/1580860800

Cloud 9 Desert:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5e97c258bea44050ff42c3c2

’72 Flip

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5e97da05c36bc9658741a46c

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/vCMhhc1.png

https://backpack.tf/item/7957538034 - 38 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/2324091831 - 40 keys

Sales at:

20

22 (2x)

31

31 is looking like an outlier. Even if #1 were to be used here, it would end up being somewhere in the low 20s as well, by the looks of it. Also doesn't help that we can't check for a B/O. Excluding 31.

Taking 20-22.