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B/O dropping
https://imgur.com/a/F8L6NjR
19 days unsold, meets the 15% criteria (20*0.85=17), no other sales in the past 3 months.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1587340800/1587427200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198160237448#!/compare/1587254400/1587340800 - Sold for an Electrostatic Texas Tin-Gallon + 3 Keys + ~1 Key in Sweets
Buyout was 15 Keys (From your screenshot)
Then it was Sold to Scrap.tf - https://backpack.tf/item/5213385698
Where it looks like someone bought it and listed on Mp.tf Auctions with a starting bid of ~15 Keys - https://marketplace.tf/auctions/14694
theres been a couple more auctions, lowering the price each time:
https://marketplace.tf/auctions/15205
https://marketplace.tf/auctions/15259
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30094;5;u109 newest sale is $25
Looks like this could get a range now