Sale 1:

Sold for Haunted Ghosts Hat to Kill for (20.5) + 6 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072046829#!/compare/1581033600/1581120000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027857565#!/compare/1581033600/1581120000

https://backpack.tf/item/8450697121

No B/O

27 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for Steaming Cool Capuchon (Suggestion at 7) + Pro. KS Aus SMG (~12) + Strange Last Breath (~9 at the time)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142864294#!/compare/1583452800/1583539200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267930919#!/compare/1583452800/1583539200

https://backpack.tf/item/8450697121

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M0D0033X - No B/O

https://bot.tf/stats/item?def=570&q=11&ef=&craft=1&aus=0&ks=0 - Strange Last Breath during the time of the sale

26 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for Aces High Modest (Suggestion at 16.5) + Aussie FaN (~9.5)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119581356#!/compare/1580774400/1580860800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072046829#!/compare/1580774400/1580860800

https://backpack.tf/item/8450697121

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4KR3DQW8 - B/O of 33

26 keys

Sale 4:

Sold for Stormy Storm Modest (Suggestion at 22) + 4 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059874094#!/compare/1585958400/1586044800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198144957339#!/compare/1585958400/1586044800

https://backpack.tf/item/3338277877

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M19Z012O - B/O of 30

26 keys

Sale 5:

Sold for 25 keys + some metal

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198331279752#!/compare/1581465600/1581552000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198818203285#!/compare/1581465600/1581552000

https://backpack.tf/item/8450697121

25 keys

Sale 6:

Sold for 23 keys + ~.5 keys in metal/items

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198401236682#!/compare/1583020800/1583539200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142864294#!/compare/1583452800/1583539200

https://backpack.tf/item/8450697121

24 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/817;5;u8

$60, March 28th

$54.99, April 16th

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-04-16&price=54.99 - $54.99 / $1.78 = 30.89 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/8450697121

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MLVZJO7O - No B/O, unless the 30 key seller here was the seller, and didn’t appear in the history. Assuming that isn’t the case here.

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-28&price=60 - $60 / $1.69 = 35.50 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/3338277877

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y800OKXW - No important B/O

After rounding, we have:

36 keys

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/3338277877 (#1-3)

https://backpack.tf/item/8450697121 (#4-9)

#1

Sold for 30 keys? (buyer’s end)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1585872000/1585958400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059874094#!/compare/1585872000/1585958400

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MVQ6GPL6 - B/O of ~22?

wtf

#2

Sold for Terror-Watt Ground Control + Schadenfreude

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198144957339#!/compare/1586304000/1586390400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083713697#!/compare/1586304000/1586390400

Not too many sales on the Ground Control, using there.

#3

Sold with Soldier’s Requiem (~3 now) for Haunted Ghosts Coldsnap Cap

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083713697#!/compare/1586390400/1586995200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198004952793#!/compare/1586908800/1586995200

#4

Sold with 3 keys for Beams Sober Stuntman

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027857565#!/compare/1581033600/1581120000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198330581869#!/compare/1580860800/1581120000

Can be used on the Stuntman

#5

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198330581869#!/compare/1581465600/1581552000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198331279752#!/compare/1581465600/1581552000

#6

Bulk for Scorching Stove Pipe

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267930919#!/compare/1583971200/1584057600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198859721638#!/compare/1583971200/1584057600

#7

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198394148072#!/compare/1585267200/1585440000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089444465#!/compare/1585094400/1585440000

#8

Sold for Vivid Plasma Towering Pillar of Hats

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198818203285#!/compare/1581724800/1581811200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198401236682#!/compare/1581206400/1581724800

#9

Sold for Orbiting Fire Slope Scopers + Kill-a-Watt Old Guadalajara + 4 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198859721638#!/compare/1585094400/1585180800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198394148072#!/compare/1585008000/1585180800

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y9QQZJ50 - B/O of 31

Would prefer not to use this sale. Sales on the Scopers are all over the place, most of them being much higher than current sellers. This’ll most likely fall into the range anyways.

Steaming Capuchon:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5e9aaf486c7f71208f32c215

Aces High Modest:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5e9ab7c33393270d75565730

Stormy Modest:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5e9ad693f1388101086d8d08

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/DRGTQAX.png

https://backpack.tf/item/3338277877 - 30 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/6529038016 - 33 keys

Sales at:

24

25

26 (3x)

27

31

36

31 and (especially) 36 look like outliers. Had 31 have been a pure sale, I would’ve included it. Excluding 31 and 36.

Taking 24-27.