The Sale:

Sold for 10 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1586131200/1586217600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198972294135#!/compare/1586131200/1586217600

https://backpack.tf/item/7957629680

10 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/398;5;u62

$20, Feb 10th

$12.80, Feb 24th

$21.60, March 10th

$21.60, March 13th

$21.77, April 15th

https://backpack.tf/item/7957364500 - Feb 10th & March 10th

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MQ9ZDO7Q - No B/O for Feb 10th

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MXX1PRW6 - No B/O for March 10th

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-10&price=21.6 - $21.6 / $1.73 = 12.49 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-02-10&price=20 - $20 / $1.78 = 11.24 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/2359242129 - Most likely March 13th

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y9QZ0EZD - B/O of ~11

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-13&price=21.6 - $21.6 / $1.72 = 12.56 keys

Can’t find other histories

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-02-24&price=12.8 - $12.8 / $1.76 = 7.27 keys (below buyers, no point checking listings

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-04-15&price=21.77 - $21.77 / $1.77 = 12.30 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MLVZ09OZ - No important B/Os

After rounding, we have:

12 keys (2x)

13 keys

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/7957364500 (#1)

https://backpack.tf/item/7955757992 (#2 & #3)

https://backpack.tf/item/2359242129 (#4)

https://backpack.tf/item/7957364144 - bot/owner transfer & marketplace

#1

Bulk for Terror-Watt Ground Control

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068505495#!/compare/1587168000/1587081600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093889730#!/compare/1587081600/1587168000

Using on the Ground Control

#2

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261974301#!/compare/1573344000/1582675200 (can’t get a good compare link)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198416282143#!/compare/1583366400/1583452800

#3

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198416282143#!/compare/1584576000/1584662400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964171516#!/compare/1584576000/1584662400

#4

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115971143#!/compare/1584230400/1584316800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1584144000/1584230400

Sellers/Buyers:

https://i.imgur.com/F9P4KiE.png

https://backpack.tf/item/7955757992 - 12 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7957364500 - 13 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7957629680 - 14 keys

Buyers at 9+ keys

Sales at:

7

10

11

12 (2x)

13

7 is way below buyers. Excluding 7.

The sale at 13 only barely rounds to 13, and with that seller at 12, doesn’t warrant the extra half a key worth of value on this hat. Excluding 13. If it were a full pure sale, I’d have no trouble including it.

Taking 10-12.