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The Sale:
Sold for $40 on marketplace
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30127;5;u57
Can’t find the history
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/466N7P2L - Most likely this seller. Couldn’t get the history from their backpack.
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-04-16&price=40 - $40 / $1.78 = 22.47 keys
Rounds to 22 keys.
Another seller at $40 on marketplace currently:
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30127;5;u57
https://backpack.tf/item/7382396014
Taking 22 flat.