Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/614;5;u57

$30, Jan 26th

$30, Feb 4th

$25, March 28th

$28.51, April 22nd

Listing snapshots aren’t available this year. (the ones available on the site are over a year old)

https://backpack.tf/item/7956043013 - March 28th?

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-28&price=25 - $25 / $1.69 = 14.79 keys

Can’t find any other histories

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-01-26&price=30 - $30 / $1.78 = 16.85 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-02-04&price=30 - $30 / $1.78 = 16.85 keys

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - $28.51 / $1.78 = 16.02 keys

After rounding, we have:

17 keys (2x)

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/8313103918 (#1 & #2)

https://backpack.tf/item/7957674297 (#3-8)

https://backpack.tf/item/5779304440 (#9-12)

https://backpack.tf/item/2020132009 (#13

https://backpack.tf/item/8520794865 - Mannco bots + scrap

https://backpack.tf/item/7957350958 - scrap

https://backpack.tf/item/7957128327 - mannco bots

#1

Sold with another Terror-Watt Hot Dogger for Miami Nights Dr’s Dapper Topper

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198199727085#!/compare/1585785600/1585872000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198272038643#!/compare/1585785600/1585872000

#2

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198272038643#!/compare/1585872000/1585958400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198292944035#!/compare/1569888000/1585958400

#3

SCM

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198828960439#!/compare/1584403200/1584489600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197998455216#!/compare/1584403200/1584662400

#4

Same as #1, but the other history

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198199727085#!/compare/1585785600/1585872000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198272038643#!/compare/1585785600/1585872000

#5

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198272038643#!/compare/1585872000/1585958400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054855474#!/compare/1585872000/1585958400

#6

Probably scammed (probably not by the buyer here)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054855474#!/compare/1586131200/1586649600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198983255976#!/compare/1586131200/1586563200

#7

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198983255976#!/compare/1586563200/1586649600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198176022675#!/compare/1586563200/1586649600

#8

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1587168000/1587254400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198170247605#!/compare/1587168000/1587254400

Only a couple keys show up.

#9

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198359182379#!/compare/1585008000/1585094400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198185579770#!/compare/1585008000/1585094400

Couple strange cosmetics match

#10

Sold for 11 keys?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198185579770#!/compare/1585008000/1585094400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098290469#!/compare/1585008000/1585094400

Some keys on the buyer’s end show going to a different user, then the seller, but not all of them do that. This sale seems a fair bit lower than the other sales, so there’s probably no harm excluding this one.

#11

Sold with a killstreak kit for Orbiting Fire Missing Piece + 2 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098290469#!/compare/1585094400/1585180800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198216561389#!/compare/1585094400/1585180800

Can be used to price the other hat.

#12

Sold for Isotope Field Tested Tiger Buffed Scattergun

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198216561389#!/compare/1585785600/1585872000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119606908#!/compare/1584576000/1585872000

https://i.imgur.com/WJOKfJX.png - Considering buyers for any Isotope scattergun at 24, and the sellers for significantly lower on the hot dogger, I’m gonna call this too high.

#13

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198299178989#!/compare/1581465600/1585094400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1581379200/1581465600

#14

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1582502400/1582588800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066345235#!/compare/1582502400/1582588800

Some keys match, they’re paired with another sale. However, there are only a small amount of keys that do come from the buyer, so I believe some of the keys were spent on something else later that day.

#15

Sold for Eerie Lightning Flip

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066345235#!/compare/1582502400/1582588800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197980761347#!/compare/1582588800/1582761600

Better to price the Flip with this sale.

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/KK4OeWS.png

https://i.imgur.com/Gy1LGRM.png

https://backpack.tf/item/2020132009 - 17 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7957674297 - 21 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/1803184322 - 21 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/5779304440 - 27 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/4441372626 - 28 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/2570922221 - 30 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/2274714758 - 30 keys

Sales at:

15

16

17 (2x)

Taking 15-17.