Re-suggesting, new sales.

Sale 1:

Sold for Blizzardy storm Engineer’s Cap + Showstopper Surgeon’s Squeezebox

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021055079#!/compare/1578700800/1578787200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198239737970#!/compare/1578700800/1581206400

https://backpack.tf/item/6830826331

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MLRK13J8 - B/O of 23

Sale after this is untraceable, as the seller doesn’t have a compare link.

Should easily cap. Sale goes outdated today anyways.

23 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 23 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198342161127#!/compare/1578700800/1578787200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198304453484#!/compare/1578787200/1578873600

https://backpack.tf/item/4939141645

23 keys:

Sale 3:

Sold for 19 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198394457682#!/compare/1578960000/1579046400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198110475659#!/compare/1577577600/1579046400

https://backpack.tf/item/4939141645

19 keys

Sale 4:

Sold with 2 keys for Killstreak Strange Original (21)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135269357#!/compare/1587168000/1587254400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095022965#!/compare/1587168000/1587254400

https://backpack.tf/item/6864105207

19 keys

Sale 5:

Sold for 17 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198295486957#!/compare/1586822400/1586908800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198365375459#!/compare/1586822400/1586908800

https://backpack.tf/item/7956376871

17 keys

Sale 6:

Sold for 17 keys + 1.11 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850266056#!/compare/1586822400/1586908800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141054773#!/compare/1586822400/1586908800

https://backpack.tf/item/7956376871

17 keys

Sale 7:

Sold for 17 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198345788867#!/compare/1586649600/1587168000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198175875991#!/compare/1586649600/1586736000

https://backpack.tf/item/6864105207

17 keys

Sale 8:

Sold for 17 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198197292179#!/compare/1586908800/1586995200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198359459041#!/compare/1586908800/1586995200

https://backpack.tf/item/6830826331

17 keys

Sale 9:

Sold for 17 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198359459041#!/compare/1587427200/1587513600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1587427200/1587513600

https://backpack.tf/item/6830826331

https://i.imgur.com/ClV0qZd.png - bot.tf confirms, minus the ref

17 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/158;5;u9

https://backpack.tf/item/7956376871 - Probably this one

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-02-13&price=33 - $33 / $1.75 = 18.86 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MGZQOOZW - No important B/O at the time

Rounds to 19 keys

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/7956376871 (#1-5)

https://backpack.tf/item/6864105207 (#6)

https://backpack.tf/item/4939141645 (#7-11)

#1

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072390053#!/compare/1582848000/1582934400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197971333647#!/compare/1582502400/1582934400

#2

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197971333647#!/compare/1582502400/1582934400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198295486957#!/compare/1582848000/1582934400

https://i.imgur.com/HK0FRJr.png - labelled as 16 keys + 10 ref

#3

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198365375459#!/compare/1586822400/1586908800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198868969121#!/compare/1586736000/1586908800

#4

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198868969121#!/compare/1586736000/1586908800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850266056#!/compare/1586822400/1586908800

#5

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150077063#!/compare/1587168000/1587254400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135269357#!/compare/1587168000/1587254400

#6

Sold with a couple keys and items for Beams Dread Knot

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084727676#!/compare/1586217600/1586563200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198345788867#!/compare/1586044800/1586390400

#7

Bulk for Aces Cone

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075597508#!/compare/1578873600/1578960000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198394457682#!/compare/1578873600/1578960000

Using on the Cone.

#8

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198110475659#!/compare/1585872000/1586044800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1585958400/1586044800

#9

Sold for Blizzardy Storm Chieftain’s Challenge + ~1 key in items

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198304453484#!/compare/1578873600/1579046400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075597508#!/compare/1578873600/1578960000

No B/O on bot.tf

Can be used on the Chieftain, would most likely make no difference to the range here, given a seller at 18, and buyers at 17, so if it were to end up going that low, it would either fit in the range or be excluded. If it ended up higher, it would look like an outlier given 3 sellers at around the same value. This sale here also goes outdated very soon anyways.

#10

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1587081600/1587168000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198864285626#!/compare/1587081600/1587168000

#11

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198864285626#!/compare/1587427200/1587513600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1587427200/1587513600

Sellers/Buyers:

https://i.imgur.com/bSt5OPL.png

https://i.imgur.com/3TI3MIB.png

https://backpack.tf/item/4939141645 - ~17.6 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/6830826331 - ~17.6 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/251328420 - ~19 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/6864105207 - 19 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7956376871 - 20 keys

Sales at:

17 (5x)

19 (3x)

23 (2x)

Note: some of these sales may be outdated (I believe the 2 at 23 are), but I’m too lazy to fix this up and remove them.

Excluding 23, due to cheaper sellers.

Taking 17-19.