The Sale:

Sold for Spec. KS Aus Knife (~17)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198196597527#!/compare/1583884800/1584057600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198797052365#!/compare/1583884800/1584057600

https://backpack.tf/item/3790556883

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4P07G3G5 - B/O of 17

17 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30394;5;u57

$27.20, Jan 27th

$34, Feb 1st

$32.58, March 13th

$28, March 21st

$34, March 25th

$32, March 31st

$31, April 15th

Couldn’t find any of the histories.

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-01-27&price=27.2 - $27.2 / $1.77 = 15.37 keys

No snapshots available during this time period.

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-02-01&price=34 - $34 / $1.78 = 19.10 keys

No snapshots available during this time period.

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-13&price=32.58 - $32.58 / $1.72 = 18.94 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4P07G3G5 - No important B/O, these sellers are already in this suggestion, in different parts.

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-21&price=28 - $28 / $1.68 = 16.67 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4WX63J97 - Seller here is in “Other Sales” (#4). Even if it did sell on marketplace, it doesn’t cap.

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-25&price=34 - $34 / $1.69 = 20.12 keys

No snapshots available during this time period.

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-03-31&price=32 - $32 / $1.69 = 18.93 keys

No snapshots available during this time period.

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-04-15&price=31 - $31 / $1.77 = 17.51 keys

No snapshots available during this time period.

After rounding, we have:

19 keys (3x)

20 keys

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/6297496451 (#1)

https://backpack.tf/item/3381568832 (#2-4)

https://backpack.tf/item/3790556883 (#5 & #6)

#1

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198020673987#!/compare/1587254400/1587427200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1587340800/1587427200

#2

Sold for 13 keys + 28 ref?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1581724800/1581811200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198281630040#!/compare/1581724800/1581811200

I’m not convinced that this is correct. I’m guessing more keys were involved, but were later spent on other stuff. Excluding.

#3

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198281630040#!/compare/1581724800/1581811200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198986535615#!/compare/1581811200/1581897600

#4

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198431421139#!/compare/1585353600/1585440000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197984373540#!/compare/1585526400/1585612800

I reckon it sold for those keys but got gambled away. Not gonna use this sale though.

#5

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1581724800/1581811200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057765758#!/compare/1581638400/1581811200

#6

Sold with a couple keys in pure/items for Searing Plasma Prince Tavish’s Crown

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161804510#!/compare/1583280000/1583539200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198196597527#!/compare/1583366400/1583539200

Would be better off to price the Tavish with this sale.

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/V4vvuzs.png

https://backpack.tf/item/6297496451 - ~18.6 keys

Sales at:

15

17 (2x)

18

19 (3x)

20

Seller at ~18.5 isn’t too old so I won’t exclude the higher sales.

Taking 15-20.